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32 pages, Paperback
Published May 1, 1971
”If a causes b, then whenever situations like a occur situations just like b occur.”However, Hume still held that causation involves a kind of necessary connection. So did Kant. Later accounts, following Mill, focused on necessary and sufficient conditions. But, Anscombe asks, can’t something be sufficient in the sense of being enough to bring about the effect, without guaranteeing the effect?
”For example, we have found certain diseases to be contagious. If, then, I have had one and only one contact with someone suffering from such a disease, and I get it myself, we suppose I got it from him. But what if, having had the contact, I ask a doctor whether I will get the disease? He will usually only be able to say, ‘I don’t know – maybe you will, maybe not.’”Moreover, we can know causes without knowing the correct account of causation. But what, then, is the correct account of causation? Here Anscombe answers:
”It is this: causality consists in the derivativeness of an effect from its causes. This is the core, the common feature, of causality in its various kinds.”This is the core of what Anscombe is arguing. Causality is the derivativeness of an effect from its causes. Effects derive from, arise out of, come of, their causes. Accounts of necessitation miss this, since something can be a necessitating condition without being a cause, and vice versa. That is, analysis in terms of necessity is unable to tell of the derivativeness of effect from cause(s). Therefore, causation should not be identified with necessitation.
“Thus in relation to the solar system (apart from questions like whether in the past some planet has blown up), the laws are like the rules of an infantile card game: once the cards are dealt we turn them up in turn, and make two piles each, one red, one black; the winner has the biggest pile of red ones. So once the cards are dealt the game is determined, and from any position in it you can derive all others back to the deal and forward to win or draw. But in relation to what happens on and inside a planet the laws are, rather, like the rules of chess; the play is seldom determined, though nobody breaks the rules.”Determinism means that there is a guarantee, before future events unfold, that there is a single possible (unique) outcome. According to Anscombe:
“It has taken the invention of indeterministic physics to shake the rather common dogmatic conviction that determinism is a presupposition, or perhaps a conclusion, of scientific knowledge.”In the end, Anscombe clarifies that she does not mean that “any motions lie outside the scope of physical laws, or that one cannot say, in any given context, that certain motions would be violations of physical law.” It is the against the ‘always when this, then that’ notion, and the assumption that true singular causal statements are derived from such ‘inductively believed’ universalities, that she is – I think successfully – arguing. (Though, it must be said, I haven't the necessary background in physics and logic to truly assess the value of her work.)