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2062. Lumea creata de inteligenta artificiala
O invitatie de neratat la a ne imagina cum vrem sa arate viitorul. - Brian Christian
O scurta istorie a viitorului apropiat al civilizatiei semnata de un expert, profesor universitar in domeniul inteligentei artificiale. Cartea se adreseaza cititorilor interesati de nonfictiune si de domeniile inteligentei artificiale, roboticii, tehnologiei si futurologiei.
2062 este anul in care vom avea roboti la fel de inteligenti ca noi. Acest lucru este sustinut de majoritatea expertilor in domeniile inteligentei artificiale si roboticii. Dar cum va arata acest viitor? Cum se va desfasura viata pe aceasta planeta? Profesorul Toby Walsh analizeaza impactul pe care inteligenta artificiala il va avea asupra muncii, razboiului, politicii, economiei, vietii cotidiene si mortii. Pe baza unei intelegeri profunde a tehnologiei si a implicatiilor acesteia, 2062 descrie alegerile pe care trebuie sa le facem astazi, pentru a ne asigura ca viitorul va ramane luminos.
Toby Walsh este unul dintre cei mai importanti experti din lume in domeniul inteligentei artificiale si profesor de IA la Universitatea din New South Wales, Australia. In 2015, a fost unul dintre oamenii din spatele unei scrisori deschise, care solicita interzicerea armelor autonome, asa-zisii "roboti ucigasi", semnata de peste 3000 de cercetatori si oameni de stiinta, antreprenori si intelectuali de prim rang. Prima lui carte s-a numit in Australia It's Alive! Artificial Intelligence from the Logic Piano to Killer Robots.
O scurta istorie a viitorului apropiat al civilizatiei semnata de un expert, profesor universitar in domeniul inteligentei artificiale. Cartea se adreseaza cititorilor interesati de nonfictiune si de domeniile inteligentei artificiale, roboticii, tehnologiei si futurologiei.
2062 este anul in care vom avea roboti la fel de inteligenti ca noi. Acest lucru este sustinut de majoritatea expertilor in domeniile inteligentei artificiale si roboticii. Dar cum va arata acest viitor? Cum se va desfasura viata pe aceasta planeta? Profesorul Toby Walsh analizeaza impactul pe care inteligenta artificiala il va avea asupra muncii, razboiului, politicii, economiei, vietii cotidiene si mortii. Pe baza unei intelegeri profunde a tehnologiei si a implicatiilor acesteia, 2062 descrie alegerile pe care trebuie sa le facem astazi, pentru a ne asigura ca viitorul va ramane luminos.
Toby Walsh este unul dintre cei mai importanti experti din lume in domeniul inteligentei artificiale si profesor de IA la Universitatea din New South Wales, Australia. In 2015, a fost unul dintre oamenii din spatele unei scrisori deschise, care solicita interzicerea armelor autonome, asa-zisii "roboti ucigasi", semnata de peste 3000 de cercetatori si oameni de stiinta, antreprenori si intelectuali de prim rang. Prima lui carte s-a numit in Australia It's Alive! Artificial Intelligence from the Logic Piano to Killer Robots.
272 pages, Paperback
First published July 30, 2018
64 people are currently reading
415 people want to read
About the author
Toby Walsh
33 books34 followersToby Walsh is one of the world’s leading researchers in Artificial Intelligence. He is a Professor of Artificial Intelligence at the University of New South Wales and leads a research group at Data61, Australia’s Centre of Excellence for ICT Research. He has been elected a fellow of the Association for the Advancement of AI for his contributions to AI research, and has won the prestigious Humboldt research award. He has previously held research positions in England, Scotland, France, Germany, Italy, Ireland and Sweden.
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November 23, 2025
În anul 2062 roboții vor fi la fel de inteligenți ca oamenii (cu o probabilitate de 50% - pentru anul 2112, probabilitatea este de 90%). Inteligența artificială va avea un efect perturbator în câteva domenii:
MUNCĂ. Nu există nicio lege fundamentală a economiei care spune că numărul de locuri distruse trebuie să fie egal cu numărul de locuri create. În timpul Revoluției Industriale, mașinăriile au preluat multe sarcini fizice de care se ocupau oamenii. Dar tot ne-au rămas sarcinile cognitive. De data aceasta, ar putea fi diferit.
Cel mai expus grup la pierderea locurilor de muncă din cauza automatizării sunt bărbații tineri cu vârste cuprinse între 20 și 30 de ani, fără studii superioare. Erau cel mai muncitor grup de angajați din SUA, pe care te puteai baza. Un studiu MIT din 2017 a ajuns la concluzia că roboții industriali au redus numărul de locuri de muncă per total. În medie, fiecare robot a înlocuit 5,6 muncitori.
RĂZBOIUL. Conflictul armat va fi schimbat de apariția "armelor autonome letale", numite de presă "roboți ucigași". Armele autonome oferă multe avantaje operaționale. Nu trebuie să fie hrănite. Pot să lupte tot timpul. Vor avea acuratețe și reflexe la niveluri supraumane. Execută cu strictețe ordinile primite.
Cel mai slab punct al dronelor este legătura prin radio sau fibră optică cu baza. Dronele pot fi sabotate prin bruierea legăturii radio sau prin tăierea fibrei optice. Așa că, dacă poți face în așa fel încât drona să poată zbura, urmări și ținti de una singură, ai o armă mult mai puternică. Armele autonome letale pot deveni atât de eficiente încât vor fi considerate arme de distrugere în masă.
VALORILE. Vrem să creăm sisteme AI înzestrate cu valori etice. Dar ale cui valori? Ale corporațiilor care dezvoltă aceste tehnologii? Corporațiile au demonstrat în multe cazuri că sunt lipsite de moralitate. O medie vaga a societății per total? Chiar vrem să ne înzestrăm mașinăriile cu prejudecățile pe care vrem să le eliminăm din societate? Trebuie să facem ca Ai să aibă standarde etice mai presus decât oamenii. Se anunță o epocă de aur a filosofiei.
Recomand
MUNCĂ. Nu există nicio lege fundamentală a economiei care spune că numărul de locuri distruse trebuie să fie egal cu numărul de locuri create. În timpul Revoluției Industriale, mașinăriile au preluat multe sarcini fizice de care se ocupau oamenii. Dar tot ne-au rămas sarcinile cognitive. De data aceasta, ar putea fi diferit.
Cel mai expus grup la pierderea locurilor de muncă din cauza automatizării sunt bărbații tineri cu vârste cuprinse între 20 și 30 de ani, fără studii superioare. Erau cel mai muncitor grup de angajați din SUA, pe care te puteai baza. Un studiu MIT din 2017 a ajuns la concluzia că roboții industriali au redus numărul de locuri de muncă per total. În medie, fiecare robot a înlocuit 5,6 muncitori.
RĂZBOIUL. Conflictul armat va fi schimbat de apariția "armelor autonome letale", numite de presă "roboți ucigași". Armele autonome oferă multe avantaje operaționale. Nu trebuie să fie hrănite. Pot să lupte tot timpul. Vor avea acuratețe și reflexe la niveluri supraumane. Execută cu strictețe ordinile primite.
Cel mai slab punct al dronelor este legătura prin radio sau fibră optică cu baza. Dronele pot fi sabotate prin bruierea legăturii radio sau prin tăierea fibrei optice. Așa că, dacă poți face în așa fel încât drona să poată zbura, urmări și ținti de una singură, ai o armă mult mai puternică. Armele autonome letale pot deveni atât de eficiente încât vor fi considerate arme de distrugere în masă.
VALORILE. Vrem să creăm sisteme AI înzestrate cu valori etice. Dar ale cui valori? Ale corporațiilor care dezvoltă aceste tehnologii? Corporațiile au demonstrat în multe cazuri că sunt lipsite de moralitate. O medie vaga a societății per total? Chiar vrem să ne înzestrăm mașinăriile cu prejudecățile pe care vrem să le eliminăm din societate? Trebuie să facem ca Ai să aibă standarde etice mai presus decât oamenii. Se anunță o epocă de aur a filosofiei.
Recomand
February 20, 2019
"I believe that one day we will create machines that think," writes AI researcher Toby Walsh in his new book, 2062. "We will invent machines that are superior to us. They will be stronger, faster and more intelligent than us." However, he notes, they will think in ways very different from us. "A faster-thinking dog will likely still be a dog. It will still dream of chasing squirrels and sticks." Which is to say that machines that think will understand the world around them in a fashion alien to human beings.
Whether or not machines ever achieve consciousness, they will never be human. And should we be frightened? This AI expert worries that much could go wrong as artificial intelligence comes to play an ever-larger role in our lives.
AI is "already starting to damage society"
Walsh notes that "this book is a warning about the multiple real dangers posed by AI, many of which are already starting to damage society. Most of them require only the stupid AI we have today, and not the smart AI we will likely have in fifty or 100 years' time." It's highly unlikely robots will ever exterminate the human race, as some seem to suggest. Instead, Walsh writes about such dangers as these:
** error-prone military drones that are 90 percent inaccurate even with human supervision;
** the total loss of privacy from ever-more-intrusive data collection by machines;
** the human bias in law enforcement software because the data it's based is the result of historic discrimination against women and African-Americans;
** the increasing loss of jobs as automation continues to make inroads in high-powered professions; and
** the extreme economic inequality that comes from the growing concentration of wealth in large tech companies.
This AI expert worries about the future but puts his fears in perspective
To put these worries in perspective, Walsh does not share the fears so famously attributed to Elon Musk, computer scientists Bill Joy and Jaron Lanier, and the late Stephen Hawking. He rates the odds that robots will eliminate the human race as virtually nil. Walsh backs up his views with the detailed reasoning that led him to that conclusion. And he's far from alone in taking this stance. "A survey of fifty Nobel laureates conducted in September 2017 by Times Higher Education ranked the climate, population rise, nuclear war, disease, selfishness, ignorance, terrorism, fundamentalism and Donald Trump as bigger threats to humanity than AI."
There will be no technological singularity
The title of Walsh's book is significant. He polled 500 artificial intelligence professionals, asking when computers' intelligence might be expected to match humans'. "For a 90 percent probability . . . the median prediction of the experts was 2112." 2062 represents the year when the experts judged the probability that machines would become as smart as humans was 50 percent.
However, as you may be aware, the Google computer scientist Ray Kurzweil has been predicting for many years that machines will not just be as smart as humans by 2045, but they will also have gained the potential to learn at an exponentially faster rate and thus far outstrip homo sapiens. Kurzweil calls this the technological singularity. Toby Walsh is profoundly skeptical about this claim. He spells out no fewer than ten reasons why the singularity is not inevitable. Like many other AI professionals, he is not even certain that computers will ever become more than human.
A refreshingly well balanced look at AI
2062 offers a refreshingly well balanced look at the reality of artificial intelligence in today's world and at what we might expect several decades down the road:
** For example, he is dubious about one of the recurring tropes in science fiction: brain implants. Walsh writes that "interfacing your brain to a machine is only likely to slow down the machine."
He is even more skeptical about the prospect for uploading our consciousness to a machine and thus achieve immortality (as a few wealthy men in Silicon Valley hope to do). "It might be impossible or impractical to read the contents of our biological brains accurately enough to make a digital copy." And how, he asks, do we know that the very act of attempting to do so won't damage the brain?
** And Walsh explains that the common expectation that robots will take all our jobs may be based on faulty assumptions. "We have no real idea about the number of jobs at risk; there are just too many uncertainties." Certainly, most truck, taxi, and Uber drivers may be out of work even in the near future. But those who predict that low-paid jobs in general are at risk of automation are ignoring a simple fact: it may not be "economically viable to automate them." In any case, in the past, new technology has tended to create more jobs, not fewer. So, "no one can say what the net effect on employment will be."
Like so many of his colleagues, this AI expert worries about the growing impact of artificial intelligence on our lives. But he insists that "The AI Revolution . . . will be about rediscovering the things that make us human."
About the author
British transplant Toby Walsh is a professor of artificial intelligence at Australia's University of New South Wales. He is an international leader in the effort by AI professionals to press for policies worldwide to minimize the potential harm from the work in his field. 2062 is the fourth of his books on artificial intelligence. As one of the world's leading AI researchers, he has also authored a prodigious number of academic papers.
Whether or not machines ever achieve consciousness, they will never be human. And should we be frightened? This AI expert worries that much could go wrong as artificial intelligence comes to play an ever-larger role in our lives.
AI is "already starting to damage society"
Walsh notes that "this book is a warning about the multiple real dangers posed by AI, many of which are already starting to damage society. Most of them require only the stupid AI we have today, and not the smart AI we will likely have in fifty or 100 years' time." It's highly unlikely robots will ever exterminate the human race, as some seem to suggest. Instead, Walsh writes about such dangers as these:
** error-prone military drones that are 90 percent inaccurate even with human supervision;
** the total loss of privacy from ever-more-intrusive data collection by machines;
** the human bias in law enforcement software because the data it's based is the result of historic discrimination against women and African-Americans;
** the increasing loss of jobs as automation continues to make inroads in high-powered professions; and
** the extreme economic inequality that comes from the growing concentration of wealth in large tech companies.
This AI expert worries about the future but puts his fears in perspective
To put these worries in perspective, Walsh does not share the fears so famously attributed to Elon Musk, computer scientists Bill Joy and Jaron Lanier, and the late Stephen Hawking. He rates the odds that robots will eliminate the human race as virtually nil. Walsh backs up his views with the detailed reasoning that led him to that conclusion. And he's far from alone in taking this stance. "A survey of fifty Nobel laureates conducted in September 2017 by Times Higher Education ranked the climate, population rise, nuclear war, disease, selfishness, ignorance, terrorism, fundamentalism and Donald Trump as bigger threats to humanity than AI."
There will be no technological singularity
The title of Walsh's book is significant. He polled 500 artificial intelligence professionals, asking when computers' intelligence might be expected to match humans'. "For a 90 percent probability . . . the median prediction of the experts was 2112." 2062 represents the year when the experts judged the probability that machines would become as smart as humans was 50 percent.
However, as you may be aware, the Google computer scientist Ray Kurzweil has been predicting for many years that machines will not just be as smart as humans by 2045, but they will also have gained the potential to learn at an exponentially faster rate and thus far outstrip homo sapiens. Kurzweil calls this the technological singularity. Toby Walsh is profoundly skeptical about this claim. He spells out no fewer than ten reasons why the singularity is not inevitable. Like many other AI professionals, he is not even certain that computers will ever become more than human.
A refreshingly well balanced look at AI
2062 offers a refreshingly well balanced look at the reality of artificial intelligence in today's world and at what we might expect several decades down the road:
** For example, he is dubious about one of the recurring tropes in science fiction: brain implants. Walsh writes that "interfacing your brain to a machine is only likely to slow down the machine."
He is even more skeptical about the prospect for uploading our consciousness to a machine and thus achieve immortality (as a few wealthy men in Silicon Valley hope to do). "It might be impossible or impractical to read the contents of our biological brains accurately enough to make a digital copy." And how, he asks, do we know that the very act of attempting to do so won't damage the brain?
** And Walsh explains that the common expectation that robots will take all our jobs may be based on faulty assumptions. "We have no real idea about the number of jobs at risk; there are just too many uncertainties." Certainly, most truck, taxi, and Uber drivers may be out of work even in the near future. But those who predict that low-paid jobs in general are at risk of automation are ignoring a simple fact: it may not be "economically viable to automate them." In any case, in the past, new technology has tended to create more jobs, not fewer. So, "no one can say what the net effect on employment will be."
Like so many of his colleagues, this AI expert worries about the growing impact of artificial intelligence on our lives. But he insists that "The AI Revolution . . . will be about rediscovering the things that make us human."
About the author
British transplant Toby Walsh is a professor of artificial intelligence at Australia's University of New South Wales. He is an international leader in the effort by AI professionals to press for policies worldwide to minimize the potential harm from the work in his field. 2062 is the fourth of his books on artificial intelligence. As one of the world's leading AI researchers, he has also authored a prodigious number of academic papers.
October 2, 2021
De ce iubim tehnologia?
De ce multora ne este teamă de inteligența artificială? Pentru că am putea pierde controlul asupra deciziilor noastre, asupra vieții și asupra libertăților noastre? Pentru că IA ne-ar putea fura locurile de muncă?
✅Lectura de față își propune să ne ajute să înțelegem că a respinge evoluția nu e neapărat cel mai bun lucru pe care l-am putea face. Ba din contră, sunt multe decizii de luat acum, în prezent, pentru ca viitorul copiilor si nepoților noștri să fie pașnic și facil de trăit în așa fel încât să putem evolua pe alte planuri, cum ar fi experiențele interumane./
De ce multora ne este teamă de inteligența artificială? Pentru că am putea pierde controlul asupra deciziilor noastre, asupra vieții și asupra libertăților noastre? Pentru că IA ne-ar putea fura locurile de muncă?
✅Lectura de față își propune să ne ajute să înțelegem că a respinge evoluția nu e neapărat cel mai bun lucru pe care l-am putea face. Ba din contră, sunt multe decizii de luat acum, în prezent, pentru ca viitorul copiilor si nepoților noștri să fie pașnic și facil de trăit în așa fel încât să putem evolua pe alte planuri, cum ar fi experiențele interumane./
February 5, 2021
Insanlar cabuk ogrenir, kararlarini iyi izah ederler,cok derin bir dunya kavrayisina sahipler ve kosullara kolay uyum saglarlar.
Zeka bircok farkli yetenegi kapsar, hem dunyayi algilama , hem de algilanan dunyaya dair muhakame yapma yetenegi zekanin en onemli bilesenlerindendir. Ancak zeka cok sayida baska yetenegi icinde barindirir; bunlardan biri yaraticiliktir.
Analitik beceri, duygusal ve sosyal zeka , yaraticilik, esneklik, kararlilik ve merak insanlarin en cok ihtiyac duyacaklari yetenekler olacak. Sanat ve zanaat ogrenelim ve ogretelim.
Zeka bircok farkli yetenegi kapsar, hem dunyayi algilama , hem de algilanan dunyaya dair muhakame yapma yetenegi zekanin en onemli bilesenlerindendir. Ancak zeka cok sayida baska yetenegi icinde barindirir; bunlardan biri yaraticiliktir.
Analitik beceri, duygusal ve sosyal zeka , yaraticilik, esneklik, kararlilik ve merak insanlarin en cok ihtiyac duyacaklari yetenekler olacak. Sanat ve zanaat ogrenelim ve ogretelim.
July 1, 2025
Thought it was interesting that the book was written in 2018 but still resonates as if it were written today. I found a lot of the topics brought up salient, although the concept of homo digitalis a bit too theatrical.
June 16, 2025
In his book 2062, AI expert Toby Walsh takes a practical approach to artificial intelligence, avoiding sci-fi hype to focus on real issues we face today and in the near future. He makes an interesting point: even when machines become smarter than humans, they won't think like us. As Walsh puts it, "A faster-thinking dog is still a dog" - meaning more advanced AI won't suddenly become human-like.
The book's strength is its focus on current problems. Walsh explains how today's AI, while still limited, is already causing harm: military drones make dangerous mistakes, police algorithms show racial bias, and our privacy is disappearing as companies collect more data. He also warns that AI could make rich tech companies even richer while putting many people out of work. But he's not all doom and gloom - unlike some famous tech figures, Walsh doesn't believe AI will destroy humanity. Instead, he suggests practical solutions like making AI systems more transparent and breaking up tech monopolies.
The title 2062 comes from Walsh's survey of AI experts, who gave that year a 50% chance of machines matching human intelligence (with 90% odds by 2112). Walsh disagrees with futurists who predict AI will suddenly become super-intelligent (the "Singularity"), listing ten reasons why this probably won't happen. He's also skeptical about ideas like brain implants or uploading human minds to computers, calling them unrealistic.
Walsh imagines a future he calls Homo digitalis, where humans work closely with AI. Computers would handle tasks they're good at (like fast calculations), while humans make the important decisions. He discusses how this might change jobs (some will disappear but new ones may appear), politics (fighting AI-powered fake news), and war (he wants to ban killer robots). While AI will change the job market, Walsh points out that some jobs might be too cheap to automate, and new technology often creates new types of work.
Written in clear language anyone can understand, 2062 offers a balanced view of AI's challenges and opportunities. Even though it came out before ChatGPT and other recent AI advances, its ideas about managing AI's impact are still relevant today. This isn't a story about robots taking over - it's a practical guide for making sure AI improves our lives rather than harming them. A great read for anyone interested in how AI will shape our future.
The book's strength is its focus on current problems. Walsh explains how today's AI, while still limited, is already causing harm: military drones make dangerous mistakes, police algorithms show racial bias, and our privacy is disappearing as companies collect more data. He also warns that AI could make rich tech companies even richer while putting many people out of work. But he's not all doom and gloom - unlike some famous tech figures, Walsh doesn't believe AI will destroy humanity. Instead, he suggests practical solutions like making AI systems more transparent and breaking up tech monopolies.
The title 2062 comes from Walsh's survey of AI experts, who gave that year a 50% chance of machines matching human intelligence (with 90% odds by 2112). Walsh disagrees with futurists who predict AI will suddenly become super-intelligent (the "Singularity"), listing ten reasons why this probably won't happen. He's also skeptical about ideas like brain implants or uploading human minds to computers, calling them unrealistic.
Walsh imagines a future he calls Homo digitalis, where humans work closely with AI. Computers would handle tasks they're good at (like fast calculations), while humans make the important decisions. He discusses how this might change jobs (some will disappear but new ones may appear), politics (fighting AI-powered fake news), and war (he wants to ban killer robots). While AI will change the job market, Walsh points out that some jobs might be too cheap to automate, and new technology often creates new types of work.
Written in clear language anyone can understand, 2062 offers a balanced view of AI's challenges and opportunities. Even though it came out before ChatGPT and other recent AI advances, its ideas about managing AI's impact are still relevant today. This isn't a story about robots taking over - it's a practical guide for making sure AI improves our lives rather than harming them. A great read for anyone interested in how AI will shape our future.
March 2, 2024
O foarte bună chemare la gândire echilibrata cu privire la AI.
Calmează și frica aceea de "Munca mea va fi automatizata. Ce voi mai face?".
Dar și introduce o chemare către moderație legata de puterea giganților tehnologiei.
Tonul pozitiv de la final e un mare bonus.
Un minus destul de mare pentru mine, personal, a fost modul în care s-a realizat traducerea:
- IA a fost o variantă neobișnuită pentru termenul de Inteligență Artificiala (fiind obișnuit cu varianta scurtă în engleză: A.I.)
- ȘTIM ca traducere pentru STEM (acesta fiind un acronim mai des folosit în limba engleza, de asemenea)
Calmează și frica aceea de "Munca mea va fi automatizata. Ce voi mai face?".
Dar și introduce o chemare către moderație legata de puterea giganților tehnologiei.
Tonul pozitiv de la final e un mare bonus.
Un minus destul de mare pentru mine, personal, a fost modul în care s-a realizat traducerea:
- IA a fost o variantă neobișnuită pentru termenul de Inteligență Artificiala (fiind obișnuit cu varianta scurtă în engleză: A.I.)
- ȘTIM ca traducere pentru STEM (acesta fiind un acronim mai des folosit în limba engleza, de asemenea)
December 15, 2018
Had this book instead been written by a non-expert, it may have been called "2039: the world that AI made". But the author, an expert in AI, leans toward more conservative predictions. The survey on which the book's title is based asked respondents by what year they expect a 50% probability that automation will have replaced most jobs. The median answer from non-experts was 2039; from experts, 2062.
In a nutshell, this book is about the potential implications of AI (artificial intelligence) technology on humanity. It is not about the more speculative and exciting implications like artificial general intelligence and the technological singularity (think Ray Kurzweil & Nick Bostrom), which the author argues are not inevitable (the ten arguments in chapter 2); it is instead about the "stupid" AI not too far from what we have today.
Of course, even "stupid" AI will have a game-changing impact on many aspects of human life, as it still holds vast advantages over humans, including higher memory capacity, faster speeds, and the capacity for co-learning (which means that when one computer learns a particular skill, we can automatically transport that skill to every other computer - definitely not the case with humans, at least not yet). Thus Walsh argues that a new species Homo digitalis will replace Homo sapiens by virtue of these advantages, which are analogous to the advantages Homo sapiens had over Homo neanderthalensis. The book is a little vague about what Homo digitalis actually refers to - it seems to mean, in as many words, humans augmented by AI, in ways such as outsourcing cognitive tasks to computers and using virtual reality.
Each chapter deals with a different aspect of society, including jobs, privacy, war, politics, equality and human values. As the book shows, each will require proactive thinking and planning to adapt to the new conditions induced by advances in AI. Among the topics discussed are open vs. closed jobs and the size and demographics of the people likely to be affected by AI in the workplace; arguments for and against a ban on lethal autonomous weapons; tax regulation for large tech companies and anti-trust legislation; biases in AI systems; AI as 'weapons of mass persuasion'; user vs. company ownership of personal data. In addition to giving a diagnosis of the problems we will face in the coming years (and in some cases, already do face), the book optimistically argues that with the right choices, 2062 can actually be a better world to live in than 2018.
The writing style is lucid and non-technical, and the content is well-organized, making for a very easy read. I would recommend it to someone (layman or not) looking for quick, effortless read on AI and the near future of humanity, with careful reasoning and predictions instead of hype.
In a nutshell, this book is about the potential implications of AI (artificial intelligence) technology on humanity. It is not about the more speculative and exciting implications like artificial general intelligence and the technological singularity (think Ray Kurzweil & Nick Bostrom), which the author argues are not inevitable (the ten arguments in chapter 2); it is instead about the "stupid" AI not too far from what we have today.
Of course, even "stupid" AI will have a game-changing impact on many aspects of human life, as it still holds vast advantages over humans, including higher memory capacity, faster speeds, and the capacity for co-learning (which means that when one computer learns a particular skill, we can automatically transport that skill to every other computer - definitely not the case with humans, at least not yet). Thus Walsh argues that a new species Homo digitalis will replace Homo sapiens by virtue of these advantages, which are analogous to the advantages Homo sapiens had over Homo neanderthalensis. The book is a little vague about what Homo digitalis actually refers to - it seems to mean, in as many words, humans augmented by AI, in ways such as outsourcing cognitive tasks to computers and using virtual reality.
Each chapter deals with a different aspect of society, including jobs, privacy, war, politics, equality and human values. As the book shows, each will require proactive thinking and planning to adapt to the new conditions induced by advances in AI. Among the topics discussed are open vs. closed jobs and the size and demographics of the people likely to be affected by AI in the workplace; arguments for and against a ban on lethal autonomous weapons; tax regulation for large tech companies and anti-trust legislation; biases in AI systems; AI as 'weapons of mass persuasion'; user vs. company ownership of personal data. In addition to giving a diagnosis of the problems we will face in the coming years (and in some cases, already do face), the book optimistically argues that with the right choices, 2062 can actually be a better world to live in than 2018.
The writing style is lucid and non-technical, and the content is well-organized, making for a very easy read. I would recommend it to someone (layman or not) looking for quick, effortless read on AI and the near future of humanity, with careful reasoning and predictions instead of hype.
August 31, 2019
Tony Walsh’s ‘2062 The World That AI Made’ is the first popular culture take on AI book I’ve read cover to cover. Having some context and background knowledge of the topic, many of his views were not new to me but nevertheless, they were well put and clearly articulated which made his book very illuminating, almost like a brighter lightbulb had been installed into a desk lamp that for too long shed insufficient light in a topic I was trying to study.
The time of the book is easy, engaging and broken down into mini chapters which make the book easy to read, put down and pick up on again.
The breadth of the topic exceeds the depth in many places; don’t expect a detailed and laser like Bostrom take on Ai but that being said, it probably wasn’t the intention.
All in all I’m happy I ready it and would recommend it to anyone interested in the future of society and AI.
The time of the book is easy, engaging and broken down into mini chapters which make the book easy to read, put down and pick up on again.
The breadth of the topic exceeds the depth in many places; don’t expect a detailed and laser like Bostrom take on Ai but that being said, it probably wasn’t the intention.
All in all I’m happy I ready it and would recommend it to anyone interested in the future of society and AI.
February 26, 2019
Cannot recommend highly enough that everyone should read this book!
January 12, 2019
Olha para o futuro, mas é essencialmente uma reflexão sobre os tempos presentes. Walsh analisa, à luz do que já acontece hoje, em que medida a IA se poderá tornar uma força transformativa na nossa sociedade, e quais os seus impactos éticos, legais e sociais. O panorama não é animador. Se as correntes tendências se mantiverem, o mundo de 2062 vai ser mais dominado por algoritmos ao serviço de interesses neoliberais, com correspondente perda de privacidade, direitos civis, liberdades (o caso chinês é emblemático) e retrocesso nas condições de vida. Mas ainda vamos a tempos de escolher o futuro que esta tecnologia nos poderá proporcionar. A chave está na regulação. Não da tecnologia em si, mas da forma como será utilizada, garantindo que não nos retire privacidade (o RGPD europeu é apontado como um bom exemplo), limite liberdades ou fique apenas ao serviço das agendas neoliberais ou totalitaristas mais gananciosas. O problema, aqui, é que boa parte das pessoas não tem hoje noção da interferência que estas ferramentas já têm nas suas vidas, quanto mais lutar para manter o humanismo num futuro dominado por algoritmos.
April 30, 2024
Even though this was written prior to generative AI, it's a profound book with incredible insights.
July 13, 2019
I read a few other titles about AI before, but with none of those other title arguments I agreed more than what I do with Toby.
This book is not just about AI, is about us, and what will we become WHEN 2062 (or earlier?) comes.
Great and easy read. Recommend!
This book is not just about AI, is about us, and what will we become WHEN 2062 (or earlier?) comes.
Great and easy read. Recommend!
January 26, 2020
Experts believe 2062 is the year robots will have equal intelligence to humans. If this is true, how do we actually define human intelligence? Can we give robots the same emotions we feel? Or should we? If so, what rights do robots have? How will it impact employment, politics and warfare? And what ethical questions does this all raise?
I wasn’t quite sure. But Toby addresses all of this perfectly in this book. Informative and digestible, I would recommend.
I wasn’t quite sure. But Toby addresses all of this perfectly in this book. Informative and digestible, I would recommend.
August 15, 2020
Very readable and entertaining prediction how AI will change our society in the decades to come. Walsh gives a good overview of the possibilities and limitations of technology and paints a rather worrying picture of the world to come. Nevertheless there are a few convincing call to actions about how we can get the best out of this new world without all the negative consequences. Covers some of the same ground as "It's Alive", but if you enjoyed that book, 2062 is still worth a read.
December 29, 2021
O carte ce nu trateaza aceasta provocare superficial, cu idei si pareri luate din discutii la colt de strada. Autorul este foarte bine pregatit si vine cu statistici, cercetari si argumente la fiecare afirmatie. Recunosc ca pe alocuri e un pic prea tehnica si descriptiva, dar asta nu face decat sa ii bucure pe cei care doresc detalii suplimentare.
November 13, 2018
A book purportedly about the future that spends most of its time talking about the present.
December 14, 2024
3.5 Stars
The book starts on the wrong foot, for example, by asserting that language allows us to transmit certain knowledge like don't eat mushrooms, have you seen any animal eating drugs or poisoned fruits as human does, many times for entertainment or killing others. However, beginning with Chapter 6 it improves a lot. The author does not situate the books in 2062 rather he writes about current issues and how in 2062 those issues will be...if they're really issues by then, who knows what different things could appear since some of them weren't issues in 1962, more than 50 years ago. My eyes were sore from the conceptual errors he made.
His description of Homo Digitalis and Computer Advantages over humans is laughable, to say the least.
One of the concerns that economists have today is that many jobs are simply going to disappear by 2062 ---> I strongly suggest reading Bullshit Jobs: A Theory by David Graeber, and by the way read O pobre de direita: A vingança dos bastardos by Jessé Souza, to complete the picture.
This book was written in 2018, but by the end of 2024 still no autonomous vehicles are available, and several companies are canceling those projects. Sometimes the books are pro AI and sometimes against it.
In his chapter about LAWs or Killer Robots, there's a mediocre book, Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War that deals with the subject, but again the war will be robots against robots? What would be the purpose, In the end, no matter who wins will be worthless since the losing fraction will start a guerrilla war once things settle….and robots are being useless in the Middle East so far.
Facebook's attempts to deal with #Fakenews are nil since they want that way to get more traffic, attention, and comments and to manipulate public opinion.
Something to think about: One of the professions where they say AI will have the most impact is the legal field. Suppose a lawyer presents a document completely written with an AI, the judge instead of reading it, feeds another AI with this document and instead of writing his sentence, he asks the AI to do it. Beyond ethics, who does this serve? If the object of the case is people, these third parties will have no value for the AI since it has no way of including the merit "person" in its writing. If the object of the trial is a company, in the end, those affected by the AI's writing are also people since they are part of the company. So in the end, what is the use of the AI, only to argue among themselves, since both parties, the judge and the lawyer, have fallen into the easy trap of trusting the AI in the writing, and it is a more common practice than they think.
The book starts on the wrong foot, for example, by asserting that language allows us to transmit certain knowledge like don't eat mushrooms, have you seen any animal eating drugs or poisoned fruits as human does, many times for entertainment or killing others. However, beginning with Chapter 6 it improves a lot. The author does not situate the books in 2062 rather he writes about current issues and how in 2062 those issues will be...if they're really issues by then, who knows what different things could appear since some of them weren't issues in 1962, more than 50 years ago. My eyes were sore from the conceptual errors he made.
His description of Homo Digitalis and Computer Advantages over humans is laughable, to say the least.
One of the concerns that economists have today is that many jobs are simply going to disappear by 2062 ---> I strongly suggest reading Bullshit Jobs: A Theory by David Graeber, and by the way read O pobre de direita: A vingança dos bastardos by Jessé Souza, to complete the picture.
This book was written in 2018, but by the end of 2024 still no autonomous vehicles are available, and several companies are canceling those projects. Sometimes the books are pro AI and sometimes against it.
In his chapter about LAWs or Killer Robots, there's a mediocre book, Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War that deals with the subject, but again the war will be robots against robots? What would be the purpose, In the end, no matter who wins will be worthless since the losing fraction will start a guerrilla war once things settle….and robots are being useless in the Middle East so far.
Facebook's attempts to deal with #Fakenews are nil since they want that way to get more traffic, attention, and comments and to manipulate public opinion.
Something to think about: One of the professions where they say AI will have the most impact is the legal field. Suppose a lawyer presents a document completely written with an AI, the judge instead of reading it, feeds another AI with this document and instead of writing his sentence, he asks the AI to do it. Beyond ethics, who does this serve? If the object of the case is people, these third parties will have no value for the AI since it has no way of including the merit "person" in its writing. If the object of the trial is a company, in the end, those affected by the AI's writing are also people since they are part of the company. So in the end, what is the use of the AI, only to argue among themselves, since both parties, the judge and the lawyer, have fallen into the easy trap of trusting the AI in the writing, and it is a more common practice than they think.
August 28, 2024
A Very Good Book Reflecting Views of High Level AI Experts that is Geared Towards Laymen
Any review of this book would have to start out by pointing out that it is geared towards laymen. The specialist reader would gain little out of reading this book. The author explicitly states, in chapter 1 (sorry for not having an exact page# citation but this reviewer has read the Kobo digital version of this work), "This book is intended for the interested but non-expert reader". Hence the question becomes how well does this book address the topic for this particular audience? The answer is very well.
The book's main strength (and weakness) is that it provides a very mainstream set of views. Views that reflect the median held by the majority of professionals and high-level practitioners in the field. The book itself is based on the average view of some 300 Al professions surveyed by Dr. Walsh. Even the "2062" in the title of book refers to the fact that most experts in the field believe there is a 50% chance that Al will be able to "think as well as us" (chapter 1) by that period. This is important as the views of experts (i.e. high level practitioners in the field), vary significantly from the views of "experts" who are not practitioners (i.e., journalists, etc.). It is also important as the views of "expert" practitioners in the field are much more cautious than those of the non-practitioners (i.e. non-practitioners believe Al will reach human capability much sooner than the practitioners, etc.).
The book presents, more or less, the profession's "mainstream" thought in regard to many issues on IT such as impact on work, politics, equality, privacy, trends in the Al industry worldwide (in particular China vis-a-vis the West), etc. These are covered in each of the book's individual chapters. Plus it provides the lay reader with many, many very interesting factoids. For example, that about 10% of all electrical power today is used to power computers or IT equipment. That 10 years after Deep Blue defeated Gary Kasparov, the chess champion who superseded Mr. Kasparov as world federation chess champion was in turn defeated by Fritz, a commercial readily available computer playing software package that was running on a standard stand alone upper level commercially available PC (in sharp contract to Deep Blue that was really 3 mainframes running in parallel and running specially designed software that was created by leading IBM experts in Al and was not available commercially). That today, Pocket Fritz 4 that runs on upper-end cell phones, has a chess playing rating higher than Gary Kasparov's when he was world chess champion.
All and all a very good overview of the topic, reflecting the views of Al expert practitioners, for the lay audience. Highly recommended for that audience.
Any review of this book would have to start out by pointing out that it is geared towards laymen. The specialist reader would gain little out of reading this book. The author explicitly states, in chapter 1 (sorry for not having an exact page# citation but this reviewer has read the Kobo digital version of this work), "This book is intended for the interested but non-expert reader". Hence the question becomes how well does this book address the topic for this particular audience? The answer is very well.
The book's main strength (and weakness) is that it provides a very mainstream set of views. Views that reflect the median held by the majority of professionals and high-level practitioners in the field. The book itself is based on the average view of some 300 Al professions surveyed by Dr. Walsh. Even the "2062" in the title of book refers to the fact that most experts in the field believe there is a 50% chance that Al will be able to "think as well as us" (chapter 1) by that period. This is important as the views of experts (i.e. high level practitioners in the field), vary significantly from the views of "experts" who are not practitioners (i.e., journalists, etc.). It is also important as the views of "expert" practitioners in the field are much more cautious than those of the non-practitioners (i.e. non-practitioners believe Al will reach human capability much sooner than the practitioners, etc.).
The book presents, more or less, the profession's "mainstream" thought in regard to many issues on IT such as impact on work, politics, equality, privacy, trends in the Al industry worldwide (in particular China vis-a-vis the West), etc. These are covered in each of the book's individual chapters. Plus it provides the lay reader with many, many very interesting factoids. For example, that about 10% of all electrical power today is used to power computers or IT equipment. That 10 years after Deep Blue defeated Gary Kasparov, the chess champion who superseded Mr. Kasparov as world federation chess champion was in turn defeated by Fritz, a commercial readily available computer playing software package that was running on a standard stand alone upper level commercially available PC (in sharp contract to Deep Blue that was really 3 mainframes running in parallel and running specially designed software that was created by leading IBM experts in Al and was not available commercially). That today, Pocket Fritz 4 that runs on upper-end cell phones, has a chess playing rating higher than Gary Kasparov's when he was world chess champion.
All and all a very good overview of the topic, reflecting the views of Al expert practitioners, for the lay audience. Highly recommended for that audience.
September 19, 2023
'2062 - The world AI Made' by Toby Walsh and it's a must-read for anyone interested in the future of AI.
This book reminds me of a line from the movie , I Robot: "One day they will have dreams, One day they will have secrets "
The book explores the fascinating world of AI and how it will impact our lives in the future.
One of the key takeaways is the need for governance and rules around the application of AI.
Walsh also highlights the real dangers posed by AI Including
- The loss of privacy
- Human bias in law enforcement software, and
- The increasing loss of jobs due to automation.
However, he rates the odds of robots eliminating the human race as virtually nil.
As we move towards a future where AI will be responsible for the majority of work done by humans, it's important to educate ourselves on the potential risks and benefits. Walsh's book is a great starting point for anyone looking to learn more about this rapidly evolving field."
This book reminds me of a line from the movie , I Robot: "One day they will have dreams, One day they will have secrets "
The book explores the fascinating world of AI and how it will impact our lives in the future.
One of the key takeaways is the need for governance and rules around the application of AI.
Walsh also highlights the real dangers posed by AI Including
- The loss of privacy
- Human bias in law enforcement software, and
- The increasing loss of jobs due to automation.
However, he rates the odds of robots eliminating the human race as virtually nil.
As we move towards a future where AI will be responsible for the majority of work done by humans, it's important to educate ourselves on the potential risks and benefits. Walsh's book is a great starting point for anyone looking to learn more about this rapidly evolving field."
August 5, 2024
O carte excelentă, e ușor de citit și de înțeles și pentru cititori care nu pricep dedesubturile tehnologiei noi. Autorul își pune întrebări nu chiar despre cum ar arăta o lume în care IA este la fel de inteligentă ca un om, dar mai degrabă cum ar trebui să arate o astfel de lume, și mai ales, dacă o astfel de lume este chiar posibilă. Răspunsul final este o schimbare totală a lumii așa cum o știm.
Cartea a apărut în 2018, dar e încă relevantă în 2024; puține dintre chestiunile pe care le discută s-au schimbat în acești ani. Pe de altă parte, multe dintre soluțiile pe care le propune sunt foarte simpliste (de ex. doar oamenii să aibe acces la internet, nu și boții ok, sună bine, dar cum s-ar putea implementa așa ceva?)
Recomand tuturor cititorilor care au dubii legate de un viitor dominat de inteligența artificială, și care au un pic de conștiință socială.
Cartea a apărut în 2018, dar e încă relevantă în 2024; puține dintre chestiunile pe care le discută s-au schimbat în acești ani. Pe de altă parte, multe dintre soluțiile pe care le propune sunt foarte simpliste (de ex. doar oamenii să aibe acces la internet, nu și boții ok, sună bine, dar cum s-ar putea implementa așa ceva?)
Recomand tuturor cititorilor care au dubii legate de un viitor dominat de inteligența artificială, și care au un pic de conștiință socială.
March 19, 2023
I just can't get into futurism. I just feel like in the five to fifty-year timescale, the sheer number of complicating interacting variables becomes so large that you can't really say much that is useful. So I find that after a few pages of starry-eyed predictions, I'm no longer properly reading the arguments, just thinking about all the other possible ways the future could go, with just a tiny flap of a butterfly's wings.
December 9, 2022
Homo Deus does it better and is more balanced in taking a futuristic worldview. At times conjectures were thrown to incite a reaction. The book could have been more structured since at times the content looked repetitive.
The content was good though. Anyone thinking to venture in AI, or wanting to study can start with this book. Overall a good read, but could have been improved.
The content was good though. Anyone thinking to venture in AI, or wanting to study can start with this book. Overall a good read, but could have been improved.
May 9, 2023
In light of all the AI chitter chatter it is an easy read, however, it didn't get down to the nuts and bolts of the fast-growing interest in AI in human society. Ethics around development, implementation and interaction with AI entities in the future were discussed.
In saying that I found the book readable (sparked my interest to read more on the subject).
In saying that I found the book readable (sparked my interest to read more on the subject).
This entire review has been hidden because of spoilers.
February 10, 2019
A primer to Life 3.0.
December 30, 2021
Most part excelent, but has a few pages that don't quite add up...
January 29, 2023
O carte sumbră ("sfârșitul nostru", "sfârșitul ...") ce arată impactul IA asupra muncii, conștiinței, războiului, politicii, vieții cotidiene și ce ar trebui să facem pentru un viitor luminos.
February 29, 2024
A fantasy book, but some things make sense!!
December 23, 2024
arts > STEM
suck on that elon
suck on that elon
Displaying 1 - 30 of 36 reviews