Be it the Doklam standoff in 2017, or the deadly clash in the Galwan Valley in 2020, or the seemingly bonhomie between Modi and Xi from Ahmedabad to Mahabalipuram to Wuhan, or the latest issue of the Arunachali woman briefly detained over her passport in Shanghai, strong démarche has been continuously exchanged between India and China so that the bilateral ties between the two are kept in order in the course of the persistent crests and troughs over the last decade or so between the Asian giants. What has however remained unchanged is the element of trust that sits on the threshold, and even though there is some tangibility to the output, there is rarely any to the outcome.
Rewinding back to the 1940s-50s-60s, the newly liberated Asian giants managed to mould themselves in the Westphalian order of states, but, a region that always considered itself different, thanks largely to its history and culture, Tibet couldn't make the transition, and Chinese were squarely blamed for stalling such a phase transformation due to their excesses. Nirupama Rao's 'The Fractured Himalaya' is an in-depth account of the 13 years from 1949-62, when a multitude of characters on both sides of the Himalayan divide played the game of diplomacy tragically. If the Indians led by Jawaharlal Nehru wanted peace with the northern neighbour at all costs, the Chinese led by Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai, without so much proclaiming territorial aggrandizement, played the game of Chinese Checkers most astutely in order to show their strength and reach along and across the border that they believed was traditionally Chinese in character. The dozen years of compressions and rarefactions in the geopolity between the neighbours culminated in the disastrous war for India in 1962, and accentuated further by the unilateral declaration of ceasefire leading to the belief that China didn't believe in territorial takeovers, a thematic clothed in askance since.
So what took the relationship downhill from a beginning when the countries were apparently cozying up to one another? Was it the rebellion in Tibet, or the flight of Dalai Lama to India seeking refuge, or a complete lack of understanding the Chinese mind by Nehru for which he is blamed to this day, or Chinese ambitions and manufacturing public opinion amongst the people for Mao in the wake of the calamitous philosophy of the Great Leap Forward? Or did the policy of Sanhe Yishao, or Three Conciliations and One Reduction have a role to play? Sanhe Yishao as a concept was formulated after the failure of the Great Leap Forward, against a background of domestic challenges and also in order to ameliorate tension between China and the three categories of adversaries: the modern revisionists (USSR), imperialists (US), and reactionaries (India, Pakistan and Burma), and in an effort to improve relations with China's neighbours, to reduce China's support for national liberation movements in neighbouring countries. While none of these questions can be answered with certitude, Nirupama Rao digs through the archival material only made publicly available in recent times and thereafter employs her finesse as a career civil servant and her strong understanding of the Chinese labyrinthine mindset (she was an ambassador to China) to explore the complexity-ridden woolly thinking. The core of her scholarly pursuits are supremely admirable and has loci around the central question - Which were the points of inflection that could have altered the trajectory of the Sino-India relations, but were missed? Rao lucidly expounds how the fragility of ties is constantly exposed, the fabric is stretched persistently, and the underlying regional rivalries, shadowed by the memory of past conflict, hostile public opinion and low levels of political will and equilibrium have only instrumentalized acrimony between the neighbours.
Nirupama Rao successfully brings the needle back on Tibet as the centric locus, and while doing so, she rests firmly on objectivities without fanning any of her personal prejudices along the way. This opens up the ground for her take on India's hand in the way she treated the Tibetan issue, often in a desultory manner, aptly substantiated by the initial meetings between Nehru and Dalai Lama after the latter crossed the border into India. Certainly not unbeknownst of the impending Chinese excesses in Tibet, India's confusion in handling the situation only sparked an inexorable march of the People's Liberation Army into Lhasa that eventually proved disastrous for the Tibetans. It should be noted that according to the 1914 Simla Agreement held under the auspices of the British, the Tibetans had agreed to the drawing of the McMahon Line, which except the Chinese was ratified by the Indians, Tibetans and the British. This has been the contentious issue fuelling the border dispute since, and in more recent times, Dalai Lama has firmly stated that the line holds true and that Arunachal Pradesh is an integral part of India, which the Chinese always considered as part of Southern Tibet, and thus has not thawed the often times freeze in the relations between the two most populated countries in the world.
What about Nehru and the coteries, the Menons (VK as well as KPS), Panikkar, Girija Bajpai, and even stalwarts amongst the Congress? It is well known that immediately post independence, Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel and Nehru did not see eye to eye on the Chinese question. If Sardar was pragmatic, Panditji was idealism personified, and eventually it was realised that Panditji's idealism failed his calculations miserably. Even though Nehru was not in the habit of blaming others for the debacle, he has often been on the receiving end of gross culpability in handling the gravity of the problem with India's northern neighbour. This has become a fashion of sorts in more recent times, but Nehru's infallibility wasn't his own doing and ultimately undoing. This has been succinctly out by Ramchandra Guha,
"the body of higher professional civil servants did not truly exert themselves to volunteer professional dissent on issues which eventually were to lead to grace damage to national interests and prestige... The general surrender to the hypnosis that Nehru knows best was an extensive phenomenon since our independence... It cannot be wholly disowned that the professional advisors, not just the political ones, rendered less than their duty to their beloved Caesar". The war with China fatigued Nehru both physically and mentally, and as HV Kamath, author of the Last Days of Nehru said, recalling Isaiah Berlin's description of a dying Tolstoy, a tragic, isolated figure, consumed by the ghosts of his abandoned dreams, and like Oedipus 'beyond human aid, wandering self-blinded at Colonus'.
After the war, when KPS Menon visited the Soviet Union, Nikita Khruschev told him that such disputes were often the most difficult to deal with because they were always dealt with from the point of view of national prestige rather than national interest. Khruschev was most prescient in his remarks and the shadows of his words only grow darker with time.
What China was trying to accomplish between the late 40s and the early 60s is remarkably reflected by the wise and prudent words of Olaf Caroe, the quintessential strategist of the Great Game, "Pelion piled on Ossa and Ossa on Olympus", a tormenting case, seldom simplified by India's indulgence.
The other important aspect of Nirupama Rao's book is about the roles played by the US and the USSR. While the US was more over in its support for India, including giving arms and even technical assistance along the eastern and the western sector, the Soviets were clandestine in their support that seeing like a pendulum from one end when it required Chinese support in the Cuban Missile Crisis to even supporting the so-called dirty tactics that they assumed the Indians were committing against the Chinese. In short, the book pretty much conclusively says that in the decade under consideration, India's choices were far from optimal and firmly ensconced in sub-optimality. Rao remarkably unties the knots tightened by the haphazard diplomatic and stately sutures in bringing to the world an indispensable volume on foreign policy, an absolute must read.