[Note: this is a pretty “rough” review. There was a lot of material in this book, and I hope at some point to give it a second read-through and then re-write this review, to provide a better survey of key points and a more nuanced treatment overall.]
First off, I’m grateful to Saifedean for writing this book. I found it informative and thought-provoking, and loaded with potent one-liners that capture some of Bitcoin’s most exciting characteristics, and refute some of the most common arguments against it. And, yes, I have more than a few objections to share as well. But on the whole, I consider it worthwhile reading for anyone who is interested in the history, and future, of monetary systems.
My favorite chapters were the first 4, which take us through phases of monetary evolution in history. Saifedean’s knowledge and expertise is on full display as he talks about seashells, Rai stones, glass beads, Roman gold coins (and the eventual debasement thereof), and the essential principles that underpin the trajectory and fate of each system. He clearly knows this territory well, and gives the reader a deft and lucid tour. He also does a fine job of introducing the principles of Austrian economics, as a counterpoint to the dominant Keynsian paradigm. I particularly liked the section on Roman and post-Roman coinage, which intimates that the fate of an empire can be very closely tied to how responsible or irresponsible of a monetary policy it maintains.
But it is in this same chapter that I started to see some of Saifedean’s bias or overindulgence: he seems to believe that a monetary standard is almost the sole determinant of a society’s fate. Describing Europe after the fall of Rome, he says “…the absence of a widely accepted sound monetary standard severely restricted the scope for trade, closing societies off from one another and enhancing parochialism as once-prosperous and civilized trading societies fell into the Dark Ages of serfdom, diseases, closed-mindedness, and religious persecution.” (pg. 29) Surely, there were many other factors at play beyond just the monetary standards of the time. Furthermore, how can this claim co-exist with the modern state of affairs, in which we have no sound monetary standard but worldwide trade is busier and richer than ever?
I had similar reactions at several other points in the book, where the author’s reasoning or rhetoric seemed biased, unconvincing, or borderline specious. So, while I much appreciate the information that Saifedean brings to the table, I have to treat his arguments with skepticism. Which is not to say that all his conclusions are off-base. At many points throughout the book, he offers punchy, blunt summaries that successfully capture the essence of a complex topic. But his beliefs about the paramount importance of a society’s monetary standard, and his seething hatred of everything Keynesian (he really cannot resist throwing mud at Keynesian economics, and does so unnecessarily, at several points in the book), detract from his trustworthiness as an author.
I also have to say that the book seems poorly edited; the text seems littered with inadvertent repetition and some chapters contain lengthy, opinionated tangents. I suppose the fact that I keep referring to the author by his first name reveals that I have trouble seeing him as a professional author; he comes across rather as an opinionated economist who decided to dump his mind out onto paper, with mixed results. Chapter 5, “Money and Time Preference,” inexplicably contains a multi-page rant about modern art, how terrible it is, and how it’s all the fault of unsound money. And, for a book that purports to introduce Bitcoin as the next key stage of monetary evolution, it sure drops the ball on actually making that introduction. Saifedean kinds of slides into the topic of Bitcoin sideways, in a way that makes it clear that he is already convinced that Bitcoin is the future, and more or less assumes that the reader is too.
When we reach the chapters on Bitcoin, the book’s tenuous structure completely collapses. This begins with chapter 8, which inexplicably includes its own one-page appendix perched awkwardly in the main text before chapter 9. And chapter 10, “Bitcoin Questions,” is the worst offender: is it supposed to be the concluding chapter, or more of an appendix? Is it supposed to read like a FAQ, or something else? Three of the chapter’s sections are headed by actual questions like “Can Bitcoin Scale?”, but the majority are simply topics, like “Antifragility” or “Blockchain Technology.” The chapter really seems tacked on, a sort of repository for topics and rants that Saifedean didn’t find a place for earlier in the text. It’s a very scattered way to end the book.
One more “huh?" moment for me came in Chapter 9, “What Is Bitcoin Good For.” I was quite surprised to see Saifedean advance the idea of “Bitcoin-backed banks” as the centerpiece of the new paradigm. He seems to take it as a given that, due to current issues with scaling Bitcoin to handle more of the transaction volume of everyday global commerce, Bitcoin will not be used directly for commerce, but instead as a settlement-only layer, mostly among banks, which will issue Bitcoin-backed notes or securities for use in retail commerce. From my perspective, this completely misses the point of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is new and different precisely in that it steps past the need for banks and their allegedly backed notes. History has shown us time and time again how that always plays out. If Bitcoin is to be held by banks, and retail commerce is to be conducted in some kind of pseudo-Bitcoin certificates, have we really changed anything? Have we fixed the problems with the current paradigm? I don’t think so. Bitcoin is new and different and valuable because it is strictly finite, and easy to transfer without any abstraction or 3rd parties. If we go back to the legacy banking paradigm, in order to get around transaction volume scaling issues that I think are very temporary, then we have completely lost the opportunity that Bitcoin provides. Bitcoin is a truly scarce resource, and it belongs in the hands of the people, not banks. By casually suggesting a future of “Bitcoin-backed banks,” Saifedean does a serious disservice to BItcoin’s real potential, and to the real revolutions that it could bring about.
As much as I was incensed by Saifedean’s rants, rough edges, and missteps, I also kind of relished reading the book for the same reasons. It is stimulating to read an author that you kind of dislike! It kept me on edge, and I filled the book’s margins with my own snarky comments, questions, and rebuttals. Reading this book challenged me to firm up my own perspective, and to be on high alert in terms of seeing the author’s biases and framework, and checking the validity of each argument presented. One specific thing I’ll mention: while Saifedean stands apart from mainstream economists by subscribing to the Austrian, rather than Keynesian, school of thought, he is nonetheless a very typical economist is how he oversimplifies human behavior and the nature of economy and ecology here on earth. He holds the assumption that productivity is still the highest good - the determiner of all human wellbeing - and that a person’s who life is fundamentally economic, i.e. best understood through the lens of productivity and capital. And in terms of the larger systems that the human economy exists within, he sounds downright clueless. He opens chapter 9 with the very outlandish claim that “The absolute quantity of every raw material present in earth is too large for us as human beings to even measure or comprehend, and in no way constitutes a real limit to what we as humans can produce of it.” Um… how about trees? Fish? Clean air? Arable soil? These are very finite, and in many cases, already exhausted. It troubles me that a professor of economics can have such a large blind spot. He then goes on to say “human time… is the only real scarce resource,” and he keeps doubling down on this, with further statements like “Raw materials are always the product of human labor… and thus humans are the ultimate resource.” This mindset seems so distorted to me that I don’t even know how to really approach it. Saifedean thinks that all economic activity starts with “production,” and uses the example of a fishing trawler that goes out and “produces” fish. The world he sees is one in which human labor and time “produces” valuable goods out of some kind of infinite raw ether. To me this mindset appears dangerously primitive.
I’m a little disappointed than an Austrian economist like Saifedean did not offer any kind of alternative vision of what capitalism can look like. He does describe how sound money leads to longer-term thinking, wiser capital investments, but the examples he gives seem short-sighted, like the investment in a fishing trawler to “increase production.” He still holds up productivity and capital growth as the ultimate aims. Which to me, suggests a mindset that is still rooted in infinite-growth economics, and so I think there is a missed opportunity to face a harder, larger conversation about how growth can’t go on forever. Earth is a finite system. I hope that a return to sound money, a money like Bitcoin with a truly finite supply, could signal a move away from the need for perpetual growth, and towards some kind of steadier-state economic paradigm, that encourages human and ecological flourishing without the kind of ravenous, cancerous, fundamentally unsustainable growth that we see today, and that seems deeply responsible for our growing number of ecological and social crises. I wish we could have more of a conversation about that, but The Bitcoin Standard certainly doesn’t go there, as much as I wish it would. At a minimum, I have some good ideas for questions and challenges I’d love to share with Saifedean if I ever get a chance to talk with him directly. It’s too bad he’s already blocked me on Twitter.