Cold Peace: Avoiding the New Cold War

by Michael W. Doyle

An urgent examination of the world barreling toward a new Cold War. By 1990, the first Cold War was ending. The Berlin Wall had fallen and the Warsaw Pact was crumbling; following Russia’s lead, cries for democracy were being embraced by a young Chinese populace. The post–Cold War years were a time of immense hope and possibility. They heralded an opportunity for creative cooperation among nations, an end to ideological strife, perhaps even the beginning of a stable international order of liberal peace.
But the days of optimism are over.
As renowned international relations expert Michael Doyle makes hauntingly clear, we now face the devastating specter of a new Cold War, this time orbiting the trilateral axes of Russia, the United States, and China, and exacerbated by new weapons of cyber warfare and more insidious forms of propaganda.

Such a conflict at this phase in our global history would have catastrophic repercussions, Doyle argues, stymieing global collaboration efforts that are key to reversing climate change, preventing the next pandemic, and securing nuclear nonproliferation. The recent, devastating invasion of Ukraine is both an example and an augur of the costs that lay in wait.
However, there is hope.
Putin is not Stalin, Xi is not Mao, and no autocrat is a modern Hitler. There is also an unprecedented level of shared global interest in prosperity and protecting the planet from environmental disaster.
While it is unlikely that the United States, Russia, and China will ever establish a “warm peace,” there are significant, reasonable compromises between nations that can lead to a détente. While the future remains very much in doubt, the elegant set of accords and non-subversion pacts Doyle proposes in this book may very well save the world. 1 table

Genres: Nonfiction, International Relations, Politics, Audiobook

336 pages, Hardcover

Published April 25, 2023

Reviews

[Liquidlasagna · Rating 1 out of 5]

bland

He seems to hold your hand and act surprised with any souring out there in world events

........

He's got odd solutions - five compromises

a. maybe a referendum on Crimea [needless, it shoud be obvious]
b. The US should just roll over on Taiwan and say One China it is!
c. cyberwarfare is a no no

His position is so dumb i need to quote it

"An agreement needs to happen regarding The Three No’s: no cyber sabotage, no industrial tech theft, and no political subversion."

d. tri-lateralization of nuclear arms control - we need to bring China into the mix. This would require a new SALT treaty that includes the US, China, and Russia

e. The final compromise involves domestic US reforms. These reforms would rebuild the vibrancy of our welfare state and restore the promise of the American middle class. This would enhance our democratic stability and resilience which is needed in light of the inevitable competition with China and Russia.

.........

Basically he wants to save the world

and it's give up Taiwan, China won't freak on us anymore...

And the Crimean one is so dumb, maybe he should also ask if Russians in Moscow should have a referendum if the Kremlin should be owned by Kiev too. Doyle says, you never know, let's hold a referendum anyways, it'll be for peace rockets and candy!

"He served as UN Secretary General Kofi Annan’s assistant secretary general for policy planning."

Give the man a cookie.

..........

I just have to call out idiocy when i see it

- industrial espionage should end NOW
- political subversion should end NOW
- bye bye Taiwan!

what planet is he on that he thinks espionage and subversinon can be erased with a blackboard eraser?


uh, yes, subversinon is a special type of subversion
thanks for asking!

[Răzvan · Rating 5 out of 5]

citEști „Cold Peace” de Michael Doyle: Și pacea poate să fie rece
„E posibil și să ne imaginăm o democrație liberală, capitalistă gestionându-și relațiile într-un mod cooperativ cu un stat autoritarist”. p. 149 Michael Doyle, „Cold Peace”, Liveright Publishing Corporation, 2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RWgsa...
Tot auzi în aceste zile în câte feluri poate să sune cuvântul pace la nivel internațional. Poate în preajma sărbătorii de St.Patrick, sau sf. Patriciu, când ai avea ceva de spus în mod automat despre Irlanda să îți dai seama câte nuanțe pot să apară în discuție. În „Cold Peace”, Michael Doyle, specialist în relații internaționale îți aduce la zi schimbările de accent în ceea ce privește viziunile asupra puterii la nivel global. Te-ai temut că retrăiești momentul Yalta care împărțea sferele de influență la sfârșitul Celui De-al Doilea Război Mondial? Stai să nu te trezești că ești contemporan cu un nou Pact Ribbentrop-Molotov de neagresune între puteri cu intenții brutale.
„Cheia este să ne asigurăm că beneficiile globalizării sunt împărțite, nu monopolizate de elitele dominante”p. 243 Michael Doyle, „Cold Peace”, Liveright Publishing Corporation, 2023

[Hasta Fu · Rating 3 out of 5]

Michael Doyle's *Cold Peace: Avoiding the New Cold War* critically examines the potential for a new Cold War, primarily involving the U.S., Russia, and China.

Doyle also tells stories about what happened during World War I and World War II about why Italian and German and Japan line up to become one axis. Fascism and Imperialism somehow seems to align together as an authoritarian way of ruling.

He argues that the current geopolitical climate, marked by cyber warfare and propaganda, poses significant risks to global collaboration on issues like climate change and nuclear nonproliferation. He suggests that while a "warm peace" may be unattainable, reasonable compromises could foster détente.

One issue about current leader of countries which prefer something more authoritarian instead of democratic has been quite disturbing. Including the United States administration that Donald Trump has been trying to build.

However, the book has been critiqued for underplaying the importance of geopolitics in shaping these dynamics.

[JournalsTLY]

The book "Cold Peace" is subtitled 'Avoiding the New Cold War' or just hovering at teh edge of a fragile "Cold Peace".

There is an intense power transition in geopolitics happening right before us - but will big players ( China USA, EU, Russia) handle this pragmatically or ideologically? We are already into a new Cold War.

The book describes the ideology and historical mindsets that is lurking behind the trade wars, media vibes and defence budget increases. Yet the answer may be found in nations being willing to address own internal issues of income disparity and middle class stagnation.

The rise of "CNA" - Corporatist, Nationalist Autocracies - tells of the differences yet similarities of powerful men in politics and why they prevail even today.

The historical summary and analysis of Fascism and Japanese militarism are excellent chapters and very educational.

[Rodger Payne · Rating 4 out of 5]

Doyle's book is interesting and offers some thoughtful comparison chapters thinking about autocracy today (especially in China and Russia) versus Mussolini's fascism and Japan's imperial period before World War II. As an international relations liberal, Doyle is concerned about how the domestic characteristics of states shapes their foreign policy behavior.

Doyle gives a good deal of thought to the prospect of a new Cold War between the US and China and offers some tangible policy ideas in the last section to try to avert the worst implications of that.

[Nathan Boesen · Rating 3 out of 5]

A very surface level analysis that is good for anyone looking to be introduced to the topic at hand but not much more beyond it will be learned if you already know a moderate amount by the actors involved. Additionally somewhat politically biased.