I withdrew my original review because it was not a review of the book but of a review of it in the Times Literary Supplement sometime in May 2023 by a Brandon J. Weichert, a former congressional staffer, geopolitical analyst and senior editor at 19FortyFive.com and author of 'Winning Space: How America remains a Superpower'. Mr. Weichert's review annoyed me to such an extent that my review of this book became a denunciation of his review. In other words I made an ass of myself and I am very grateful to another goodreads reviewer, Jack Saunders, who brought it to my, very embarrassed, attention.
I have now reread Tim Marshall's book, increased my rating to four stars, and happily acknowledge that it is a timely and up-to-date examination of the question of how current political relationships, rivalries and tensions between the USA, Russia and China maybe played out in space. There is nothing wrong with his analysis or knowledge of current trends, problems, issues or personalities. With thirty years journalistic experience this is to be expected, I wouldn't dream of questioning anything he says based on that experience, but I have deep reservations about this or any work that deals with potential future events or trends in current affairs, politics, or foreign relations based purely on current trends as reflected in the news. Maybe it is because I am over 60 but I have almost limitless distrust of any pronouncement about the future holds that is not based on a limitless acknowledgement of almost universally wrong predictions, warnings, analysis, etc. such as you will find in this and Mr. Marshall's books turn out to be.
In 1972 Nixon 'opened' China and throughout the 1970's we were treated to countless books about what all this meant and the future of the vast bicycle riding communist country. Not a word is relevant to what was actually happening in China or predicted what would happen.
In 1989/90 as 'Eastern Europe' and the Soviet Union imploded you can search journalistic reports and CIA analysis up to almost the last minute before the Berlin Wall ceased to be a barrier to find anyone correctly predicting what would happen never mind anyone have suggested twelve months before that these events would be happening. All that on the spot experience aided them nothing in seeing or understanding what was actually happening.
I doubt if many people remember now how it seemed inevitable in the 1990's that Japan was going to be the dominant economic power of the 21st century. Just watch the now risible 1993 Sean Connery vehicle 'Rising Sun' where a Japanese corporations 'samurai' business culture is presented as both a threat and example for us effete Westerners. Where is Japan now? Its mighty economy was sunk by overvalued real estate. I doubt anyone sees a threat or example in Japan these days.
But the real estate fault line in Japan is instructive - China's current economy is balanced on top of a vast real estate bubble - there is vast over supply of housing, very expensive housing, in vast empty sections of cities provinces all over China. For the moment it is fuelling China's economic boom but is as much a house of cards as the estate boom that bankrupted Ireland in 2009.
But what of Russia and the USA? - well I have my doubts about current projections of how sustainable their power is. The USA is a country whose essential infrastructure - roads, bridges, dams and highways and long past crisis and into dangerously near collapse - can we be so convinced that a country that can't keep its roads from crumbling is really about to dominate space? Or Russia? It is currently unable to conquer Ukraine, Putin's boasts are showing up hollow - he of course has a powerful apparatus of control to support him but losing wars is always dangerous.
Journalists are excellent for reporting the here and now, they lamentable at placing it in context, and unlike in the past, most journalists are not based for long periods of time in the places they report on. I just don't think books like this are relevant after an immensely short time frame because they have no depth or context. I have absolutely no doubt that ten years from now not one item of importance to this author in this book will be relevant. Just remember other predictive books like 'The End of History' by Francis Fukuyama - the most important thing he failed to predict was his book's future in the dustbin of history.