50 Things You Need to Know About the Future is about how efficient futurists work, and how we can expect the world to evolve in terms of demographics, general economics, technologies, business models, resources, environment, and lifestyles. This book addresses how to predict the future, what we can expect from it, and how companies and government should adapt to the accelerating change, and will ● Explain the core principles of efficient forecasting ● List a number of underlying drivers and recurring social patterns which help explain and predict events ● Show how companies and governments can become more future-proof by adopting new and innovative management principles ● Introduce new technologies and how they will be applied.
This book is a thought-game into the future. A very optimistic one at that. Lots of fun stuff to wonder about, think about and dream about but I did have a hard time as I got deeper into the book. He starts the book by saying that people often catastrophize (my word, not his) the state of the world and, in fact, it is in much better shape than we think. Well, then I am definitely guilty of that when it came to his later chapters. He seemed to skim over the uglier aspects and over-simplified the positives. Or maybe I am one of the people who catastrophize the world.
An enjoyable book if you like this kind of brain-game.
Tak til Lars Tvede for at læse og tænke meget. Resultatet er denne idiosynkratiske listning af teknologiske, biologiske, ressourcemæssige, organisatoriske, psykologiske, miljømæssige og samfundsmæssige og politiske trends som ligger til grund for hans optimistiske syn på vores fælles fremtid.
Fortalt med smittende begejstring og i en let tilgængelig fremstilling. Et primært udbytte er at man får lyst til at læse videre i det righoldige kildemateriale på www.larstvede.com, dels for at blive klogere, men også for også for at validere / udfordre bogens mange postulater. Der har ikke været plads til megen diskussion af pro et contra og det er OK, da Lars Tvede gennemgående fastholder at det vi får er hans fortolkning. Det ville også have været en læsevenlighed at have opsummeret de 50 postulerede trends i 5 meta-trends, som ville hjælpe læseren med at navigere og og organisere den meget intense informationsstrøm.
Bogens svageste punkt er springet fra den 'nørdede' beskrivelse af teknologi og videnskab til udledning af de politiske og værdimæssige konklusioner, men dette er vel næsten uundgåeligt, hvis forfatterens personlige standpunkter ikke skal udvandes totalt. Der stilles ikke krav om at læseren skal være enig.
Alt i alt en god anvendelse af din læse- / lyttetid og god stimulation til overvejelser om sammenhænge og mangel på samme i en efter alt at dømme ultra-kompleks verden
I think this book is a little bit along the lines of "Factfulness", "Future Crimes", and "Editing Humanity" (maybe because I have read the latter two just just recently).
Anyway, it's basically an optimistic futurist book with an investment mindset all throughout because the author is a venture capitalist, and when it comes to investors, you have to know that we tend to have a very optimistic mindset about the future because that's the way to invest for the long run. That's probably why my financial analysts have found this book and recommended it to me. It has shaped our investment approach by highlighting these underlying trends that are shaping our future, and you can assign certain companies you want to invest in to one of these trends. If there is a match, then you can at least know that there is a tailwind behind those names.
I have read many futurist books, and I'm not easily swayed by big prophecies and stuff like that. But time and again I experienced that even if a book is just a few years old or maybe a decade old, many ideas come true. Thus by the time you are consuming the content, the book reads like "oh yes that's how the world is, it's nothing special". So these kind of books have better value if you read them early on when they come out.
Superb insight into what the future will most likely provide for humanity. Good balance of facts and predictions. Even though future will most likely surprise us, I would say significant portion of predictions will come true and we can prepare for them and position ourselves to benefit.