The great thundering paradox of Clausewitz is that no matter what the modern world throws at him- atomic war, revolutionary war, and especially these days, high-tech wars with no soldiers- he stands tall and continues to inform. The cycle of America's endless and losing wars since 1945- Korea, Vietnam, two wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Iran- would not have surprised him, and he can tell us why they failed. Those who do not learn from Clausewitz are condemned to repeat their mistakes. He warns us that history is the best, and only, guide to examining and learning the lessons of war, and that ON WAR is not an instruction manual. The commander, even in the armchair, makes his decisions based on evidence. Clausewitz has had multiple and controversial admirers and students for the past two centuries, from Lenin and Hitler to Henry Kissinger and John Mearsheimer, and who, for the most part, have mistaken, misapplied, distorted, and ignored his teachings. But what did he really say? The three themes Clausewitz develops in ON WAR are defining war strictly in political terms, treating war as a philosophical question, and a close-up look at the inevitable brutality of combat. ON WAR, published posthumously in 1832 with authorization by the widow Clausewitz, has outlasted and outsmarted all critics.
Clausewitz is best remembered for the maxim "war is the continuation of politics by other means". His observation is nothing less than revolutionary. War is an instrument of state policy, and the pursuit of non-political goals leads to disaster. The days of war for the sake of the sovereign's whims, Louis XIV over Europe, and the wars of Habsburg cousins are over. War is not a matter of ideologies, be they Catholic against Protestant wars or the United States fighting Communism. Clausewitz would have laughed at the American "Hearts and Minds" campaign in Vietnam, along with Hitler's drive for Aryan superiority over the Slavs. He is all cold-blooded and realpolitik. Disputes are not settled through diplomacy, treaties, or international organizations. The world is composed of rival states, and those states must conquer and subdue their enemies through war. War has but one aim, and that is to destroy the enemy's armies-not take his territory, not even his capital city- and make him bow to our will. Such destruction can take various forms besides physical annihilation. The enemy may be convinced by enough battles that further resistance is suicidal, or seizing a prize objective of his, a capital, port, or province, can render him incapable of a counterattack. A less common approach, although not unthinkable, is depriving the enemy of a crucial ally by defeating him first. In war, military means must be aligned to political objectives. A nation that declares, the way Rome did, carthago delenda est, cannot use half-way measures to obtain such an outcome. Limited war to diminish an enemy or contain him simply ensures he remains a menace to be fought again; Clausewitz likens this to a businessman telling his competitors what he won't do in the market. Korea provided this lesson for the U.S., and later the Persian Gulf War. Clausewitz was already on guard for what later would be called "mission creep", or moving in the course of a war from one political goal to another while retaining the same military force. The American pursuit of Pancho Villa during the Mexican Revolution, the British Army in Northern Ireland, and the U.S. occupation of Iraq all testify to this bloody foolishness. War is a purely destructive affair, and a nation that pursues constructive goals- label it pacification, nation-building, or anything else-, encounters blowback and probable defeat; think Vietnam, Somalia, and Afghanistan.
War is combat and combat, the clash of steel, cannot be avoided. Blockades and capturing enemy seaports seldom result in victory; The North in the U.S. Civil War, which Clausewitz's disciple Moltke the Elder called "a contest between armed mobs", had to fight another three years after taking New Orleans and controlling the Atlantic. Sanctions are a terrible idea. An enemy economy will collapse only by the destruction of its goods on the ground. Many commanders put their trust in new and deadlier technology to win the war. Clausewitz cites the use of the cannon to disprove this theory. Cannons balls and other heavy explosives can demolish fortifications and frighten soldiers and civilians, but still the enemy will fight. Napoleon found that out in Russia, and the same might be said of "Bomber" Harris and the aerial bombardment of Germany in World War II. Once we eliminate war on the cheap, the only conclusion left is that combat is mostly a matter in the hands of Fortuna. War is one part chance, another danger, and a third probability. Combat assumes battle with an equilibrium of forces whose outcome cannot be forecast and only a great commander can exploit. Victory goes to those geniuses who weigh probabilities, take risks, and face danger firsthand: L'audace, l'audace, toujours l'audace!"
For exemplary heroes in the art of war, Clausewitz chose a fellow Prussian, Frederick the Great, and the enemy of Prussia, Napoleon. In combining in their person head of state and commander-in-chief, Frederick and Bonaparte guaranteed that their military campaigns followed from political goals. Their careers grant us insight into how politics and war can combine to produce victory. Frederick fought two wars against better-armed opponents, the War of the Austrian Succession and the Seven Years' War, and emerged the winner. In the first contest, he carefully chose his political objective, seizing Silesia from Maria Theresa, concentrated his forces therein, and never wavered from his target. In the second, he faced a grand alliance of Russia, France, and Austria, and craftily surmised that if he picked off the weakest member, the Czarina Elizabeth, by outlasting her army in the field, what Clausewitz calls "the war of duration", the alliance would collapse. Napoleon captured Europe from Lisbon to Rome by finding the enemy's center of gravity, what the Germans label scherpunkt, and concentrating his strength there to exploit its weaknesses; this might be the economy, transport and communication hubs, or political capital. Locating the scherpunkt is not simple; Napoleon occupied half of Russia west of the Urals, smashed the enemy's finest divisions, captured Moscow, and still did not prevail. War is, above all, a mental contest, and the commander must make his enemy feel defeated, whether at the bargaining table or in the smoldering ruins of battle.
How is a theory of war possible if chance is the only constant in battle? Montaigne raised this objection in his ESSAYS, concluding that learning from military history was impossible. Clausewitz responds by invoking Kant. Once we approach war dialectically and get past rigid categories like "War" and "Peace," a picture will emerge for us to lean on. Diplomacy and warfare, war and peace, legitimate and illegitimate means, are not antagonists but twins. They form part of a continuum. The North Vietnamese proved masters at this game, waging war in South Vietnam, at the Paris Peace Talks, and for U.S. public opinion. Montaigne was right in thinking that what may be true for a commander in one situation turns out to be false in another, and if that is a contradiction, life itself is a contradiction, and ON WAR is full of "on the other hand" sentences. War is the study of contingency lending itself to pattern. What happened in battle once may happen again, though not inexorably, and the warrior must prepare for the event. The closer the event the more it yields pedagogical points. Ancient military history, yes, including the wars of Alexander, is too full of legend and lacking in reliable details to inform. The War of the Spanish Succession, where the Duke of Marlborough made his reputation, featured weapons hardly used any more. Only modern war, with vast armies raised from the populace and arms of mass destruction, should concern the serious student.
In the memoirs of old soldiers and Hollywood movies, a battle is decided at one crucial moment. Balderdash, says Clausewitz. Combat takes the form of slow, grinding, and brutal mutual pounding, and there is no single turning point in battle. Clausewitz prefigured the Mike Tyson Rule of Boxing: "Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth". Having staked your plans on the enemy's probable course of action, you must throw away your calculations when necessary and start afresh. Superior numbers usually triumph; "The Battle of Marathon is not present in current European history", but that is not an excuse for laxity on the part of the aggressor or fatalism for the defender. Battles of envelopment where one army traps another to destroy it are rare, and Cannae is the exception. Surprise attacks seldom work, but the first combat is typically the best either side can mount, and Clausewitz advises to go on the offensive always, regardless of whether one is attacking or defending. Taking the offensive is a strategic imperative, and not necessarily true on every battlefield at all times. Hitler made a grave error in mistaking Clausewitz's advice in this regard to apply to tactics, and the Wehrmacht paid dearly for his "no retreat" order from Stalingrad to Normandy.
The anti-hero of ON WAR, Bonaparte, declared, "In war, the moral is to the physical as three is to one". Clausewitz uses moral in the Napoleonic sense. Great warriors embody and demand discipline, courage, perseverance, optimism, and esprit de corps. The winner in war can process thousands of new facts while they pop up on the battlefield and issue orders in split seconds: Napoleon's"two o'clock in the morning courage". That quality is ineffable. Clausewitz calls it the coup d'œil; a superior intelligence that guides "a harmonious association of powers" by an inner light and conviction. The commander never forgets that war is a political act, and evaluates his own goals by whether or not they serve the purpose of the war. A bridge, hill, or province must be seen as something higher than a military objective. However, he does not make political decisions nor dispute them with his civilian superiors-the Douglas MacArthur mistake in Korea. The reverse is also true: Never appoint military commanders to positions in the government, cautions Clausewitz; they miss the big picture and advocate only for immediate gains.
The Coda to ON WAR is a trip through history. The Greeks devoted themselves to massacres and spoiling the countryside. The Romans conquered Italy by making political alliances with neighboring states, though Clausewitz gives them credit for destroying the armies of Carthage and demanding Hannibal surrender. Medieval wars pitted barons against each other, with armies composed of serfs bound by fealty to their masters for a short time. The wars of Renaissance Italy, the subject of Machiavelli's DISCOURSES, saw Condottieri leading mercenary armies in "sham battles" to settle political disputes. Louis XIV fought wars for the sake of diplomatic advantage, and his generals carried "a sword in one hand and pen in the other". Modern war is the product of the French Revolution, when the Holy Trinity of Nation-State-Army was born. The young male population was conscripted to fight perennially on the basis of patriotism and war was not finished until the Revolution had conquered its enemies. Bonaparte built on that tradition and merged it to the latest weapons and tactics, making all of Europe his battlefield.
A classic Clausewitzian would say war has not changed since his day. The twentieth century, the bloodiest in human history, challenged that assumption. World War One produced something Clausewitz had not foreseen in presenting a mortal stalemate between two armies lasting four years. In World War Two both sides deliberately targeted civilians to cripple the other. Non-Combatants do not figure in ON WAR, even though Napoleon had razed an entire continent. The two world wars were one essentially by one side outproducing the other in arms. Clausewitz considers the problem of supplies, ordnance, food, and clothing, but not how the whole national economy is to be integrated for war. The nuclear bombings at Hiroshima and Nagasaki raised the dilemma of a war in which the means, atomic weapons, would obliterate the warring nations. Enter the neo-Clausewitzians, prominently Hermann Kahn, who pronounced that a nuclear war could still be fought through limited means. The contestants might agree to only use nukes below a certain scale or strike only select targets, say trading New York for Moscow, to attain their political goals. Revolutionary war against the nuclear superpowers, in which no two armies meet and combat consists largely of skirmishes, vexed the Clausewitzians until Henry Kissinger provided an answer. Since "guerrillas win by not losing", the occupying power must raise the cost of war to them to insurmountable heights; that explains Cambodia and the Christmas Bombing of Hanoi in 1972. In the twenty-first century, war is feasible without soldiers or commanders on the ground, thanks to drones and AI. Is this the end of Clausewitz? He would no doubt reply that so long as states utilize war as the means by which they impose their will on other states, the tenets of ON WAR are still valid. A tougher objection is the near absence of commanders from the battlefield ever since World War Two. War cannot be fought one, two, or multiple steps removed from the coup d'oeil, and no amount of technology can substitute for human judgment. War is not a computer calculation, and probability, which is the only thing a commander relies on to asses the chances for victory, is not a mathematical matter. A machine is incapable of reading the battlefield like Napoleon, or finding the weakest link among those powers allied against him the way Fredrick did in 1756.
Clausewitz is a military and not moral philosopher. The morality of war never comes up in ON WAR. He simply takes it for granted that states cannot settle their differences otherwise than by combat. Whether war is legitimate is a legal question that is beyond his purview. How many times have humans outlawed war only to have it return, and usually in crueler form? What Clausewitz opposes are unnecessary wars that serve no raison d'etat and in which the military campaign contributes nothing to the political goals defined by the nation's rulers. When that campaign takes on a life of its own, and military objectives replace the political, it is time to end the war. Bismark was Clausewitz's ideal statesman at war: A short war with Denmark to settle the festering wound of Schelswig-Holstein and consolidate Germany's borders; an equally short war with Austria to keep her out of the future German Reich; and the Franco-Prussian war to eliminate, not exterminate, Germany's traditional enemy. But, no war with Russia, colonization in Africa, or getting dragged into those futile endless wars in the Balkans; "They are not worth the bones of a single Pomeranian Grenadier". War may be immortal, "only the dead have seen the last of war" Santayana said, and still that is no reason why they should proliferate to fulfill the dreams of tyrants and other megalomaniacs.
ON WAR is still being read and misread. Robert Greene in THE 33 RULES OF WAR thinks Clausewitz regarded war only as a last resort in disputes among states when in fact he thinks armed conflict is inevitable. The Penguin Classics edition of ON WAR was published in 1967 and reflects the concerns of its time. The Vietnam War seemed endless, the Arab-Israeli war of 1967 lasted six days, the United States and Soviet Union stood locked in a nuclear arms race that endangered the whole planet, Africa was ablaze with national independence movements, Latin America was fit for Castro and Guevara's "foco theory" of guerrilla war, and Mao had proclaimed "Long live the victory of people's war!" to the Third World. The introduction by Anatol Rapaport takes these conflicts into account in weighing the relevance of Clausewitz to the modern reader, but meanders off into useless digressions on game theory, particularly his own contribution, and Soviet military policy since Lenin, among others of dozens of topics. I trust the translation from the German is accurate, and also wish another word could be substituted for Clausewitz's use of "moral" to describe what is really the psychological component of war. Moral may be a true rendering in the literal sense but misleading, convincing many readers that only morale is at play. ON WAR is far too important to allow for misunderstandings.