KEY TAKEAWAYS/ACTIONABLES:
- Positioning: Healthcare vs Technology; Skills + Connections
- Career: These is no "job", just tasks/skills you complete. If you can teach yourself how to SOLVE PROBLEMS, you are ahead of the game.
- Social/Political: PERSONALIZED, Democratized power.
- Psychological: Losing Ikigai -- prioritize your CREATIVE OUTLET!!!
- Political: Set up mat in multiple countries
ACTIONABLE: Hone in on two skillsets in depth. Capitalize on becoming the best. The Top 1% will take 99% of customers.
The Transition of the Year 2000: The Fourth Stage of Human Society
1. Hunting and gathering societies
2. Agricultural societies
3. Industrial societies
4. Informational societies
- In the information age, a job will be a task that you do, not a thing that you have.
- As more money moves online, governments won’t be able to track or control it anymore. They’ll lose their power over commerce and won’t be able to treat their citizens as a farmer milking cows.
- The greatest resentment will likely be centered among the middle class in rich countries, they will feel they have the most to lose. Anyone receiving handouts from the government will resent the sovereign individuals who don’t support them.
- With technology increasing, we’ll move closer and closer to Neal Stephenson’s Metaverse in Snow Crash, where we live as much online as offline and conduct ourselves according to the online laws and customs, working in the cybereconomy.
Megapolitical Transformations in Historic Perspective
- You can’t rely on conventional information sources to give you an objective warning about how the world is changing and why. You have to FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!!!!!
- There are four key pieces to understanding megapolitcal changes:
1. LAND: Topography, the control and makeup of the land.
2. POWER: Climate, it’s change can precipitate major shifts in power. The 17th century was frought with social revolution.
3. HEALTHCARE: Microbes and disease can cause radical changes in power.
4. TECHNOLOGICAL: Technology plays the biggest and most impactful role in the new megapolitical changes though
East of Eden: The Agricultural Revolution and the Sophistication of Violence
- In the hunting gathering days, there was no reason to work more than the 10-15 hours a week you needed to do to secure food. Overkill was punished because the food would rot before it could be eaten, and decrease food available to you in the environment in the future.
The Last Days of Politics: Parallels Between the Decline of the Church and Nation-State
- Church vs Science compared to Government vs Science
The Life and Death of the Nation State
- The information age will require new mechanisms of representation and government to avoid chronic dysfunction and even social collapse. The past systems will break down as technology advances.
Megapolitics of the Information Age: The Triumph of Efficiency Over Power
- In the information age, if life becomes inoperable or undesirable in one location you’ll no longer be tied to it. You can simply leave and live elsewhere. A change in government could lead to companies fleeing overnight.
- Land resource: not limited by one place, portable
- Capital resource: lowered costs, lower barriers of entry and exit.
- Product cycle: obsolete faster, gains short-lived.
- Microprocessing: individualize work. low-skilled won't be able to contribute at all, builds resentment.
- One persons' contribution is exponential (even after death). Keep pushing boundaries, claiming frontiers, pulling away power from government.
- Power is democratized.
Transcending Locality: The Emergence of the Cyber Economy
1. Internet transactions
2. Long-distance (medical diagnosis, business, real estate)
3. Occurs outside jurisdiction
Trends: PERSONALIZED. Democratized.
Example: Used to be illegal to send fax. But those laws never last.
The End of Egalitarian Economics: The Revolution in Earnings Capacity in a World Without Jobs
- The minimum skill requirement increases for any meanignful contribution; therefore there will be more and more people at the bottom (99% to 99.9%)
- There's no "jobs", just skills/tasks to do. Example: movies (employed for the job, then go their separate ways).
- Abundant information. Knowledge is cheap. Skill is powerful (knowing how to use it).
Nationalism, Reaction, and the New Luddites
- Reaction is strongest in high standards of living (developed country), The neo-luddites will attract most of their adherents from the bottom ⅔ of income earners, underachievers with credentials who face downward mobility
- As it becomes easier to live comfortably and earn a high income anywhere, the pull to choose where to live based on price savings will be more appealing.
- if you want to take full advantage of the freedom of mobility, you should STAKE OUT A WELCOME MAT in multiple places beyond the one you were born in.
- Education: First, it was controlled by the Church. Then, it was controlled by the state. Now, it will be controlled and improved by technology, and it will be PERSONALIZED and INDIVIDUALIZED based on the student.
- People will CHOOSE THEIR JURISDICTIONS the same way they today choose their insurance carriers or religions. Jurisdictions that fail to provide a suitable mix of services will face bankruptcy and liquidation, like an incompetent business.
The Twilight of Democracy
- The information age will be the age of the independent contractor, rewarded based on PERFORMANCE and COMPETENCE, instead of the “company man.”
Morality and Crime in the Natural Economy of the Information Age
- increasingly valuable to be able to discern SIGNAL FROM NOISE!!!!!!! and know what to pay attention to (see Robert Greene).
1. The information overload puts a premium on brevity, which leads to abbreviation, which leaves out what is unfamiliar, which leaves out important parts of understanding the information.
2. There’s an increased value in broad OVERVIEWS and lower value of individual facts.
3. The growing tribalization and marginalization of life will STUNT DISCOURSE AND CRITICAL THINKING. Many people will shy away from conclusions that make them uncomfortable, even if they’re obvious.
Devolution and the Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns
- Losing a CREATIVE OUTLET!!! can lead to a nervous breakdown, we need an Ikigai, a reason to live.
- If you can teach yourself HOW TO SOLVE PROBLEMS, you have a bright career ahead of yourself. No matter where you live, you will find problems galore in need of solving. Those who would benefit from solutions of their problems will pay you handsomely to solve them.