Stiglitz probably didn't make many friends inside the International Monetary Fund (IMF) when this book was published in 2002: ''Globalization and its discontents'' at times seems like a long criticism of the IMF. No, let me rephrase that: This book is actually a character assassination of the IMF and the policies it implemented during the 1980s and 90s.
This book focuses on 2 episodes in the 1990's: the East Asia crisis of 1997-1998 and the transition from communism to market economy in Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. In both cases, Stiglitz argues that the IMF, and other financial and economic institutions like the World Bank and the U.S. Treasury department, used incorrect policies that resulted in suboptimal results. During these events, Stiglitz worked as an economic adviser to president Clinton and as a senior vice-president of the World Bank, which, in a way, makes him an eye witness to how the IMF policies were designed and implemented.
Besides the criticism on how the IMF handled these 2 events (to which I will turn in a minute), Stiglitz is not impressed with how the IMF in general operates. He sees the IMF as an organization stuck in a dogmatic free-market ideology, which disdains the role of the government in the economy. Also, he feels the IMF is too much, if not exclusively, focused on inflation, and gives little attention to other important economic indicators such as growth and employment.
Equally problematic is that the IMF has little, or, according to Stiglitz, no room for discussion and debate. The free-market solutions the IMF imposes on countries who seek its help tend to be ''on size fits all'', and often don't take into account the particular circumstances of the particular country. Besides little debate inside the IMF, he also notices little curiosity towards new solutions and ideas.
Stiglitz favours a more mixed economy, where the market and the government have both important roles to play: The market to make sure resources are allocated in the best possible way, the government to make sure that the markets work and to prevent undesired side-effects of a completely unregulated free market.
In the East Asia crisis of 1997-1998, the IMF prescribed the ''Washington Consensus'', a mix of policies that include a balanced budget, low inflation (achieved through increasing interest rates), liberalization of both commercial and financial markets and privatization.
The Washington consensus prescriptions were originally designed to fight various crises in Latin America in the 1980s. In Latin America, many countries had governments that excelled in prolific spending, resulting in massive debts and budget deficits and horrific inflation. In theory, the prescriptions made sense, in practise they turned the 1980s into a lost decade for almost all countries where the Washington consensus was applied. Part of the problem of implementation was sequencing, doing some things in the wrong order, and doing others too fast.
In East Asia in 1997, the nature of the crises was different from those in Latin America a decade earlier. East Asian countries such as Thailand, Korea and Malaysia had high saving rates (which had allowed them to self-finance their incredible growth until 1997), budget surpluses and low inflation. Applying the one-size-fits-all prescriptions of the Washington consensus, mostly designed to fight inflation in Latin America, to East Asian economies as a condition for financial help from the IMF seems to have been the wrong decision.
What made this obligation for the East Asia countries to accept the Washington consensus if they wished to receive the IMF money bail-outs extra ironic was the fact that, according to Stiglitz, the IMF was (partly) responsible for the crises. The IMF had insisted that many East Asian countries open up their financial markets. Many of those countries were reluctant to liberalize their capital markets, but ended up doing so anyway. Hot investor money flowed in, fomenting local bubbles (such as a real estate bubble in Thailand), and at the first sight of trouble, the hot money flowed out again, leaving destruction and crisis in its wake.
Stiglitz argues that instead of forcing the Washington consensus on the East Asian countries, the IMF should have chosen a more Keynesian approach and helped those countries in expanding government spending to offset the fall in demand in the market.
Again, ironically, this is what the IMF was originally created for, but somehow, during the late 1970s and early 1980s, free-market fundamentalists had taken hold of the IMF, and they saw stimulus and deficit spending as undesired government interferences in the free market.
Summarizing: The IMF had not only provoked the East Asia crisis, but then also proceeded to prescribe the incorrect policies to solve, or at least alleviate, the crisis. The result was a IMF-facilitated crisis that was longer and worse than necessary.
With the transition from communism to a market economy, the IMF c.s. again made several mistakes, which again can be explained by its dogmatic free-market fundamentalism. Here Stiglitz objections to IMF policy have mostly to do with the order and timing of the policies. Basically, he thinks steps towards market economy were taken too fast. To underline his point, Stiglitz compares the communism-to-market-economy process of China and Russia, and concludes that China's slow approach has shown better results: China was poorer that Russia at the start of the decade and much richer at the end of it.
In Russia in the early 1990s, IMF recommended a quick move toward a market economy, and especially stressed the importance of rapid privatization. Stiglitz thinks that this rapid privatization was a bad idea, and that basic economic and financial infrastructure and institutions should have been put in place first (E.g. First create anti-trust laws, establish the rule of law and especially the respect for private property and then start with privatization).
The result of the rapid privatization, as favoured by the IMF, was that government monopolies became private monopolies, which were more inclined to abuse their monopoly position. Making matters worse, the Russian government usually received very little, almost giving massive state assets away for free to friends. On top of that, since property rights were not yet well established, and because many of the new owners realized that future governments might reverse these privatizations, the new owners proceeded take as much money as they could squeeze out of the newly privatized companies abroad. Crony capitalism galore. Benefits for the average Russian citizen: Almost none.
Then, in 1998, when the global impact of the East Asia crisis reached Russia, the IMF made again mistakes in Russia, when it decided to prop up the Russian rouble. In order to do so, the IMF lent billions of dollars to Russia, which only delayed the reckoning, allowing rich Russians to place their money in save havens, and burdened the country with unnecessary additional debt.
Why was the transition successful in China and not in Russia? Stiglitz points to 2 factors: Slow vs fast implementation and local design vs foreign (IMF) recommendations.
In the last parts of the book, Stiglitz makes some grave accusations when he implies that the IMF champions the special interest of the financial community. He may be on to something, but at the same time, here he is on the slippery slope towards the realm of conspiracy theories (something he said in the beginning book he would not do).
It was especially interesting to read this book in 2015, in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. The great debate of austerity versus stimulus for growth is still being held in Europe today.
Especially relevant today is what Stiglitz has to say about moral hazard. Lenders in first-world countries can safely lend to countries and companies in the developing world because they know that in times of crises, the IMF will bail them out. This happened in the East Asia crisis: Western banks lent to Asian companies. Those companies entered hard times when the crises broke out. IMF lent money to the governments, so that they could pay back the western lenders. Many of those companies went bankrupt anyway, leaving the countries with massive debts and the western lenders almost completely compensated.
This is not very different from what happened in Greece in the last couple of years: Banks that had lent money to Greece were almost completely paid back by the bailouts Greece received. Relatively little money of those bailouts actually reached ordinary Greeks. See also ''Greek debt and a default of statesmanship'', Martin Wolf, Financial Times, 27/01/2015.
Stiglitz argues that one part of the solution is improving bankruptcy rules. If a company goes bankrupt, its creditor loses its money. Perhaps that creditor should have done better due-diligence and taken less risk? That is capitalism, after all. What is not part of capitalism is lending money to risky clients knowing that you will be bailed out if things go wrong.