Volodymyr Dehtyarov

“The possibility of this happening is increased by the fact that the ‘fog of war’, unlike the uncertainties which attach to most civilian enterprises, extends not only to the input but also to the pay-offs. Not only does the general have to make decisions on the basis of a great volume of dubious information and meet a programme of perhaps questionable validity; he may also not know the costs and benefits of what he does propose. He is like a man who places a bet without knowing the odds or where the bookie might be found when once the race is over.”
― Norman F. Dixon, On The Psychology Of Military Incompetence