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“Oversimplifying is the first grave mistake we make when confronted by complexity; overconfidence is the second. And there is a third: based on our overconfidence in our oversimplified conclusions, we overreact.”
― Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World
― Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World
“Complex thinkers attempt to extend to others the same self-forgiving bias that they offer themselves.”
― Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World
― Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World
“We are facing greater ecological instability, deeper social complexity and a growing need for individual meaning that would be foreign to all but our most recent ancestors. We cannot reach the destinations we choose for ourselves if we do not alter our navigation systems to accommodate the greater complexity in our lives”
― Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World
― Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World
“I was originally planning to do a PhD in philosophy, but one of the things that discouraged me is I just became confused by the fact that you could make a very logical, convincing, rational argument in philosophy on one side of a topic and make an equally convincing, rationalogical argument on the other side, and there was no way to reconcile the two.”
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