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“it’s far better to be uncomfortably uncertain than comfortably wrong. In the end, it’s the confused apes—the connoisseurs of uncertainty—that transform the world.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“our obsession with certainty leads us astray and why all progress takes place in uncertain conditions.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Over time, our beliefs begin to blend into our identity. Your belief in CrossFit makes you a CrossFitter, your belief in climate change makes you an environmentalist, and your belief in primal eating makes you paleo. When your beliefs and your identity are one and the same, changing your mind means changing your identity—which is why disagreements often turn into existential death matches.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“scientific development often begins by someone noticing an anomaly and saying, “That’s funny…”50 The discovery of quantum mechanics, X-rays, DNA, oxygen, penicillin, and others, all occurred when the scientists embraced, rather than disregarded, anomalies.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Walking,” he explains, “has a very good effect in that you’re in this state of relaxation, but at the same time you’re allowing the sub-conscious to work on you.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Critical thinking and creativity don’t come naturally to us. We’re hesitant to think big, reluctant to dance with uncertainty, and afraid of failure. These were necessary during the Paleolithic Period, keeping us safe from poisonous foods and predators. But here in the information age, they’re bugs.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies for Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Remember, the thought experiment is the starting point, not the end. The process is messy and nonlinear. And the answer, as we’ll see in the next section, will often come when you’re least expecting it.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“The path, as the mystic poet Rumi writes, won’t appear until you start walking. William Herschel started walking, grinding mirrors, and reading astronomy-for-dummies books even though he had no idea he would discover Uranus. Andrew Wiles started walking when he picked up a book on Fermat’s last theorem as a teenager, not knowing where his curiosity might lead. Steve Squyres started walking in search of his blank canvas, even though he had no idea it would one day lead him to Mars. The secret is to start walking before you see a clear path. Start walking, even though there will be stuck wheels, broken drills, and exploding oxygen tanks ahead. Start walking because you can learn to walk backward if your wheel gets stuck or you can use duct tape to block catastrophe. Start walking, and as you become accustomed to walking, watch your fear of dark places disappear. Start walking because, as Newton’s first law goes, objects in motion tend to stay in motion—once you get going, you will keep going. Start walking because your small steps will eventually become giant leaps. Start walking, and if it helps, bring a bag of peanuts with you for good luck. Start walking, not because it’s easy, but because it’s hard. Start walking because it’s the only way forward.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“...Teller doesn’t buy it: “Taking good, smart risks is something that anyone can do, whether you’re on a team of 5 or in a company of 50,000.”18 Bezos would agree. “Given a ten percent chance of a 100 times payoff, you should take that bet every time,” he wrote...”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Without an informed public willing to question confident claims, democracy decays and misinformation spreads. Once alternative facts are reported and retweeted, they become the truth. Pseudoscience becomes indistinguishable from real science.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“The great obstacle to discovering,” historian Daniel J. Boorstin writes, “was not ignorance but the illusion of knowledge.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Be careful if you spend your days finding right answers by following a straight path to the light switch. If the drugs you’re developing were certain to work, if your client were certain to be acquitted in court, or if your Mars rover were certain to land, your jobs wouldn’t exist.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies for Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, is a major proponent of this idea. “You’re not entitled to take a view,” he cautions, “unless and until you can argue better against that view than the smartest guy who holds that opposite view.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Do we own the process or does the process own us?”7”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“When you try to improve on existing techniques,” says Astro Teller, the head of X, Google’s moonshot factory, “you’re in a smartness contest with everyone who came before you. Not a good contest to be in.”11”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Our ability to make the most out of uncertainty is what creates the most potential value.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Moonshots force you to reason from first principles. If your goal is 1 percent improvement, you can work within the status quo. But if your goal is to improve tenfold, the status quo has to go. Pursuing a moonshot puts you in a different league—and often an entirely different game—from that of your competitors, making the established plays and routines largely irrelevant.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Let’s pause there for a moment. As shocking as it sounds, we can generate breakthroughs simply by thinking. No Google. No self-help books. No focus groups or surveys. No advice from a self-proclaimed life coach or an expensive consultant. No copying from competitors. This external search for answers impedes first-principles thinking by focusing our attention on how things are rather than how they could be.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Much as in life, if you like someone, you’ll tend to overlook their flaws. You’ll find signals from a love interest—or a spacecraft—even when they’re not sending any.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies for Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Talent hits a target no one else can hit,” philosopher Arthur Schopenhauer said, but “genius hits a target no one else can see.” When”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Here’s the problem. Process, by definition, is backward looking. It was developed in response to yesterday’s troubles. If we treat it like a sacred pact—if we don’t question it—process can impede forward movement. Over time, our organizational arteries get clogged with outdated procedures.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Reality begins to emerge only when we set aside our tendency to think in clean categories and realize that almost all things exist on a continuum. Along that continuum, answers change depending on time and context. An answer that’s closer to right today could be closer to wrong tomorrow.”
Ozan Varol, Awaken Your Genius: Escape Conformity, Ignite Creativity and Become Extraordinary
“Stories provide the perfect remedy for our fear of uncertainty. They fill the gaps in our understanding. They create order out of chaos, clarity out of complexity, and a cause-and-effect relationship out of coincidence.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies for Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Rocket scientists imagine the unimaginable and solve the unsolvable.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies for Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Science, as Carl Sagan put it, is “a way of thinking much more than it is a body of knowledge.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies for Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“been experienced, fitted together with a precision better than the finest watch”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“Instead of letting your original vision—or the visions of others—shape the path forward, you abandon all allegiances to them. You hack through existing assumptions as if you’re hacking through a jungle until you’re left with the fundamental components.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“isolated reflection. The process of creation can be embarrassing. “For every new good idea you have,” Asimov writes, “there are a hundred, ten thousand foolish ones, which you naturally do not care to display.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies You Can Use to Make Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“When we prefer the seeming stability of stories to the messy reality of uncertainty, facts become dispensable and misinformation thrives. Fake news is not a modern phenomenon.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies for Giant Leaps in Work and Life
“The more we speak our version of the truth, preferably with passion and exaggerated hand gestures, the more our egos inflate to the size of skyscrapers, concealing what’s underneath.”
Ozan Varol, Think Like a Rocket Scientist: Simple Strategies for Giant Leaps in Work and Life

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