Gunter’s Comments (group member since Oct 26, 2019)

Gunter’s comments from the Read & Talk group.

I like the heat. 5th of August in Stuttgart sounds fine to me. On a hot day, I like the Amadeus, where one can sit outside. Do you know it?

Hello Lina, I'd also be in - I might be away on vacation from Aug 6th to 21st though (haven't decided yet).

“After all, what can a first impression tell us about someone we’ve just met for a minute in the lobby of a hotel? For that matter, what can a first impression tell us about anyone? Why, no more than a chord can tell us about Beethoven, or a brushstroke about Botticelli. By their very nature, human beings are so capricious, so complex, so delightfully contradictory, that they deserve not only our consideration, but our reconsideration—and our unwavering determination to withhold our opinion until we have engaged with them in every possible setting at every possible hour.”

"The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know."

"We are demonstrably arrogant about what we think we know. We certainly know a lot, but we have a built-in tendency to think that we know a little bit more than we actually do, enough of that little bit to occasionally get into serious trouble. We shall see how you can verify, even measure, such arrogance in your own living room. We will look at the implications of this arrogance for all the activities involving prediction. Why on earth do we predict so much? Worse, even, and more interesting: Why don't we talk about our record in predicting? Why don't we see how we (almost) always miss the big events? I call this the scandal of prediction."