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“If political scientists couldn’t predict the downfall of the Soviet Union—perhaps the most important event in the latter half of the twentieth century—then what exactly were they good for?”
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
“Data Is Useless Without Context”
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
“The more interviews that an expert had done with the press, Tetlock found, the worse his predictions tended to be.”
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
“Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.”
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
“The story the data tells us is often the one we’d like to hear, and we usually make sure that it has a happy ending.”
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
Renato’s 2025 Year in Books
Take a look at Renato’s Year in Books, including some fun facts about their reading.
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