

“Nothing in life is as important as you think it is when you are thinking of it.”
― Thinking, Fast and Slow
― Thinking, Fast and Slow

“Dawes observed that the complex statistical algorithm adds little or no value. One can do just as well by selecting a set of scores that have some validity for predicting the outcome and adjusting the values to make them comparable (by using standard scores or ranks). A formula that combines these predictors with equal weights is likely to be just as accurate in predicting new cases as the multiple-regression formula that was optimal in the original sample. More recent research went further: formulas that assign equal weights to all the predictors are often superior, because they are not affected by accidents of sampling.”
― Thinking, Fast and Slow
― Thinking, Fast and Slow
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