Shawn D. Mahaney
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September 2014
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“one cannot judge a performance in any given field (war, politics, medicine, investments) by the results, but by the costs of the alternative (i.e., if history played out in a different way).”
― Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
― Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
“Clearly, an open mind is a necessity when dealing with randomness. Popper believed that any idea of Utopia is necessarily closed owing to the fact that it chokes its own refutations. The simple notion of a good model for society that cannot be left open for falsification is totalitarian. I learned from Popper, in addition to the difference between an open and a closed society, that between an open and a closed mind.”
― Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
― Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
“But the financial industry is supremely pragmatic. While it may genuflect to the old icons, it invests its research dollars in the search for newer, better gods.”
― The (Mis)Behavior of Markets
― The (Mis)Behavior of Markets
“Don’t talk about “progress” in terms of longevity, safety, or comfort before comparing zoo animals to those in the wilderness.”
― The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms
― The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms
“All science asks is to employ the same levels of skepticism we use in buying a used car or in judging the quality of analgesics or beer from their television commercials.”
― The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark
― The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark
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