Kunal K. Das's Blog: The Quantum Guide
June 29, 2013
‘Good Old Days?’ – The Math Behind the Truth
You often hear people talk about the ' good old days ' - particularly, in the aftermath of some atrocity somewhere, that gets covered round the clock in the news. That does seem to be happening almost weekly if not daily, these days; school shootings, child abductions, terrorist attacks, home invasions, or something like that is in the news every day. So it is no wonder that it feels as if the world is going off the deep end, and a lot of people are increasingly looking back with nostalgia at times past, that seemed to be so much simpler and better. If you happen to be around any discussion about the latest act of pointless atrocity on the news, in the company of people above a certain age, you are sure to hear statements like, ‘When I was a kid, after school or on the weekends I used to just go and play with my friends, and my mom did not even know where I was till it was dinner time’. If you yourself are above a certain age it just might be you saying that. And there is indeed prima facie truth in that statement - many of us really did grow up just like that a few decades ago. But, is the implication behind that statement true? Was it really better and safer in the past? Is the world really getting more dangerous these days? It certainly feels like that.
But, then I try hard to think of it rationally, and look at the facts, and I have to say to myself, ‘Actually not – It is no more dangerous now, than when I was a kid’. Just as many bad things used to happen then as now, if not more. Dig into the recent history of how things were 10, 20, 30 years ago or even longer before – you will find just as many random killings, abductions, rapes, and all other atrocities as are happening today, and actually more. In fact violent crime rate in the US has declined sharply since the 1990’s. A few more decades further back, and you have all those wars and genocides happening around the world, where killing and getting horribly killed was the name of the game. The truth is that if you happen to be currently living in the US or any number of other stable countries around the world, you are living in perhaps the safest and the best of times in history.
So, then why does it feel like the most dangerous of times? It is mainly because of this insanity of 24/7 news and instant information from everywhere around the world. Couple of decades ago, with no internet sites or television channels that market ‘news’ like live entertainment, people used to get their news in small daily doses in the morning paper or the evening news. More importantly, you were not as likely to hear much about ordinary people getting in harm’s way in faraway places, in a town half-way across the country or around the world. So, things did not seem as bad. But these days, with the TV and internet news outlets trying to keep viewership strong even when there is no real news to report that is relevant to most people, you still hear about everything from a bear getting out of hand on some hiking trail in a place you will never visit, to someone accidentally shooting himself in the foot in some village you have never heard of. And of course it is only bad news that usually gets our attention. So they certainly won’t be reporting on the millions of good things and acts of kindness that are also occurring everywhere every day.
In the United States, it is compounded by another very relevant factor that nobody seems to take into account – the sheer size of the country and a relatively homogenous culture across. Of course in a country of this size with 300 million people, there will be some crime and bad things happening even in the best of times. As a fraction of the population, that rate is certainly quite small. But the trouble is, if it happens anywhere in the nation, for anyone of us living here it feels directly relevant to us, even though it might be somewhere thousands of miles from where we live. Contrast this with say a country in Europe: Even if the crime rate there may be the same as here, if a crime happens in another country, people would not identify with it as much – ‘Well, it is in a foreign country, it does not affect me’. But that foreign country is probably at the same geographical distance as my neighboring state is from me in America.
We can put this in mathematical terms. In a country of 10 million, a 0.01% homicide rate a year translates to 1000 people dead in a year. In a country of 300 million that is 30,000. Now the national news reporting is not directly proportional to the 0.01% rate but more likely to be influenced by the actual numbers 30,000 versus 1000, so it can appear that things are perhaps upto 30 times worse in the country with the larger population. Even though not all crimes make it to the national news, there is enough to keep us continuously reminded of terrible things happening everywhere. In America, much of our heightened anxiety about how things are getting worse is a consequence of that magnifying effect brought about continuous news coverage in a large and relatively homogeneous country.
Those are the facts, but does that make me feel any safer? Not really. Our minds always dwell on the extremes and when it comes to the safety and security of those we care about, we cannot be rational. Appreciation of rates and statistics appeals to the thinking rational part of our brain that certainly came about late in our evolution. Fear on the other hand hits us directly at the most primal part of the brain and it almost always wins. We might justify it by saying ‘Hey, better be safe than sorry’ and dismiss it casually, noting that besides having less peace of mind there is no harm in having a more negative perspective than the reality warrants. In fact, if you were to ask certain folks out there, they would not have it any other way – you know people vested in certain businesses, lobbies and special interests –people who know that there is good money to be made from fear and insecurity. But if we give rational thought, backed by facts, a chance, perhaps once in a while we can learn to appreciate these good ‘contemporary’ days .
But, then I try hard to think of it rationally, and look at the facts, and I have to say to myself, ‘Actually not – It is no more dangerous now, than when I was a kid’. Just as many bad things used to happen then as now, if not more. Dig into the recent history of how things were 10, 20, 30 years ago or even longer before – you will find just as many random killings, abductions, rapes, and all other atrocities as are happening today, and actually more. In fact violent crime rate in the US has declined sharply since the 1990’s. A few more decades further back, and you have all those wars and genocides happening around the world, where killing and getting horribly killed was the name of the game. The truth is that if you happen to be currently living in the US or any number of other stable countries around the world, you are living in perhaps the safest and the best of times in history.
So, then why does it feel like the most dangerous of times? It is mainly because of this insanity of 24/7 news and instant information from everywhere around the world. Couple of decades ago, with no internet sites or television channels that market ‘news’ like live entertainment, people used to get their news in small daily doses in the morning paper or the evening news. More importantly, you were not as likely to hear much about ordinary people getting in harm’s way in faraway places, in a town half-way across the country or around the world. So, things did not seem as bad. But these days, with the TV and internet news outlets trying to keep viewership strong even when there is no real news to report that is relevant to most people, you still hear about everything from a bear getting out of hand on some hiking trail in a place you will never visit, to someone accidentally shooting himself in the foot in some village you have never heard of. And of course it is only bad news that usually gets our attention. So they certainly won’t be reporting on the millions of good things and acts of kindness that are also occurring everywhere every day.
In the United States, it is compounded by another very relevant factor that nobody seems to take into account – the sheer size of the country and a relatively homogenous culture across. Of course in a country of this size with 300 million people, there will be some crime and bad things happening even in the best of times. As a fraction of the population, that rate is certainly quite small. But the trouble is, if it happens anywhere in the nation, for anyone of us living here it feels directly relevant to us, even though it might be somewhere thousands of miles from where we live. Contrast this with say a country in Europe: Even if the crime rate there may be the same as here, if a crime happens in another country, people would not identify with it as much – ‘Well, it is in a foreign country, it does not affect me’. But that foreign country is probably at the same geographical distance as my neighboring state is from me in America.
We can put this in mathematical terms. In a country of 10 million, a 0.01% homicide rate a year translates to 1000 people dead in a year. In a country of 300 million that is 30,000. Now the national news reporting is not directly proportional to the 0.01% rate but more likely to be influenced by the actual numbers 30,000 versus 1000, so it can appear that things are perhaps upto 30 times worse in the country with the larger population. Even though not all crimes make it to the national news, there is enough to keep us continuously reminded of terrible things happening everywhere. In America, much of our heightened anxiety about how things are getting worse is a consequence of that magnifying effect brought about continuous news coverage in a large and relatively homogeneous country.
Those are the facts, but does that make me feel any safer? Not really. Our minds always dwell on the extremes and when it comes to the safety and security of those we care about, we cannot be rational. Appreciation of rates and statistics appeals to the thinking rational part of our brain that certainly came about late in our evolution. Fear on the other hand hits us directly at the most primal part of the brain and it almost always wins. We might justify it by saying ‘Hey, better be safe than sorry’ and dismiss it casually, noting that besides having less peace of mind there is no harm in having a more negative perspective than the reality warrants. In fact, if you were to ask certain folks out there, they would not have it any other way – you know people vested in certain businesses, lobbies and special interests –people who know that there is good money to be made from fear and insecurity. But if we give rational thought, backed by facts, a chance, perhaps once in a while we can learn to appreciate these good ‘contemporary’ days .
Published on June 29, 2013 22:41
May 23, 2013
Quantum Mechanics of Love
Check out my blog Quantum Mechanics of Love on The Huffington Post, about how the laws of quantum physics can help in finding your perfect match. You can read much more about similar ideas in chapters like "The Wave Mechanics of Relationships" and "The Rules of Attraction" in my book The Quantum Guide to Life: How the Laws of Physics Explain Our Lives from Laziness to Love.
Published on May 23, 2013 19:10
May 20, 2013
Cloud Atlas and Entanglement
The movie Cloud Atlas was released on DVD recently, reminding me again of its complete Oscars snub. The lack of even a single nomination certainly reflects more on the Academy Awards than on the quality of the movie. This movie is arguably one of the greatest ever made, in the scope and range of its storytelling, imagery and vision. If I had not seen it (twice), I would not have believed that anyone would have dared to translate this complex narrative into a movie, and far less, pull it off so well. Everyone who has been touched by this movie can readily see this as a powerful portrayal of the human spirit and of the perennial conflict between those who wield power that inevitably corrupts and those who rebel against the injustice and evil that springs forth from such power. But there is a deeper principle at play in the movie which I wonder whether even the creators realized, and that’s what I would like to mention here.
While the notion of reincarnation in the storyline is highly speculative, there is another idea also implicit throughout that actually touches on a profound truth of the quantum universe – that of entanglement. In the classical Newtonian view, there is a fundamental separation between the observed and observer, between individual objects that are physically distant, and more importantly, the range of influence of any object is intrinsically finite and localized in space and in time. But not in the quantum universe where everything is literally entangled with everything else, so that everything in this universe is connected to everything else by a quantum wavefunction, so that what happens to one entity at one point in space-time has some repercussions, however infinitesimal, on everything else in the universe. Substitute ‘everybody’ for ‘everything’ and we see it play out in the entangled drama of the various lives and characters in Cloud Atlas, across vast periods of human history, where seemingly minor incidents can have major repercussions centuries later.
There is another aspect of this movie that ties in with this idea of entanglement. Most who disliked the movie complained about the movie being incomprehensible because of its fragmented narrative and multiple storylines. But such is the nature of reality – reality is indeed fragmented and reality is indeed multi-threaded. The simplified linear narratives we see in typical movies are like one-dimensional projections of the infinitely complex reality of human lives. Appreciation of this movie is like that of one of Bob Dylan’s deeper songs – the individual lines very often make no sense, yet they each create a vivid image and together they convey an intense feeling: That’s the sort of communication that defines great art, where one can go beyond words, sounds, colors and physical shapes and connect via something akin to an entanglement of our various consciousness.
While the notion of reincarnation in the storyline is highly speculative, there is another idea also implicit throughout that actually touches on a profound truth of the quantum universe – that of entanglement. In the classical Newtonian view, there is a fundamental separation between the observed and observer, between individual objects that are physically distant, and more importantly, the range of influence of any object is intrinsically finite and localized in space and in time. But not in the quantum universe where everything is literally entangled with everything else, so that everything in this universe is connected to everything else by a quantum wavefunction, so that what happens to one entity at one point in space-time has some repercussions, however infinitesimal, on everything else in the universe. Substitute ‘everybody’ for ‘everything’ and we see it play out in the entangled drama of the various lives and characters in Cloud Atlas, across vast periods of human history, where seemingly minor incidents can have major repercussions centuries later.
There is another aspect of this movie that ties in with this idea of entanglement. Most who disliked the movie complained about the movie being incomprehensible because of its fragmented narrative and multiple storylines. But such is the nature of reality – reality is indeed fragmented and reality is indeed multi-threaded. The simplified linear narratives we see in typical movies are like one-dimensional projections of the infinitely complex reality of human lives. Appreciation of this movie is like that of one of Bob Dylan’s deeper songs – the individual lines very often make no sense, yet they each create a vivid image and together they convey an intense feeling: That’s the sort of communication that defines great art, where one can go beyond words, sounds, colors and physical shapes and connect via something akin to an entanglement of our various consciousness.
Published on May 20, 2013 19:59
The Quantum Guide
The purpose of this blog is to provide a different perspective on issues of contemporary, as well as perennial, relevance in our lives, in the spirit of my book The Quantum Guide to Life.
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