Forecasting


Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto)
Life Expectancy
The Art Of The Long View:  Planning For The Future In An Uncertain World
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of "Intangibles" in Business
Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder
The Wisdom of Crowds
Denialism: How Irrational Thinking Hinders Scientific Progress, Harms the Planet, and Threatens Our Lives
The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't
Forecasting: principles and practice
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
Financial forecasting appears to be a science that makes astrology look respectable.
Malkiel Burton

Nate Silver
When we advance more confident claims and they fail to come to fruition, this constitutes much more powerful evidence against our hypothesis. We can't really blame anyone for losing faith when this occurs ...more
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

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Complimentary to face-to-face group that focuses on deepening our understanding of future trends…more
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Futures Studies and Foresight Books that further thinking and research into our alternative possible or preferable futures, ab…more
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