Forecasting


Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Forecasting: principles and practice
The Art Of The Long View:  Planning For The Future In An Uncertain World
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto)
Life Expectancy
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder
The Wisdom of Crowds
Denialism: How Irrational Thinking Hinders Scientific Progress, Harms the Planet, and Threatens Our Lives
The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't
How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of "Intangibles" in Business
Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway
John Kenneth Galbraith
“ There are two kinds of forecasters: those who don’t know, and those who don’t know they don’t know. ”
― John Kenneth Galbraith

“ Financial forecasting appears to be a science that makes astrology look respectable. ”
― Malkiel Burton

More quotes...
Complimentary to face-to-face group that focuses on deepening our understanding of future trends…more
1 member, last active 9 years ago
Futures Studies and Foresight Books that further thinking and research into our alternative possible or preferable futures, ab…more
11 members, last active 14 years ago
Space Elevator – Help LiftPort build the Lunar Space Elevator Infrastructure To build “the biggest thing, ever!” – LiftPort’s Space Elevator – requires an enormous breadth a…more
31 members, last active 11 years ago