Forecasting Books

Showing 1-50 of 355
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (Hardcover)
by (shelved 48 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.08 — 22,375 ratings — published 2015
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't (Hardcover)
by (shelved 25 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.97 — 52,565 ratings — published 2012
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Hardcover)
by (shelved 15 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.96 — 122,447 ratings — published 2007
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Forecasting: principles and practice Forecasting: principles and practice (Paperback)
by (shelved 6 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.39 — 318 ratings — published 2013
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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto) Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto)
by (shelved 6 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.08 — 71,760 ratings — published 2001
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Life Expectancy Life Expectancy (Mass Market Paperback)
by (shelved 6 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.02 — 39,935 ratings — published 2005
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The Art Of The Long View:  Planning For The Future In An Uncertain World The Art Of The Long View: Planning For The Future In An Uncertain World (Paperback)
by (shelved 6 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.80 — 921 ratings — published 1991
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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts (Hardcover)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.82 — 23,586 ratings — published 2018
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How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of "Intangibles" in Business How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of "Intangibles" in Business (Hardcover)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.90 — 3,748 ratings — published 1985
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Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (Hardcover)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.10 — 58,086 ratings — published 2012
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The Wisdom of Crowds The Wisdom of Crowds (Paperback)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.82 — 24,770 ratings — published 2004
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Denialism: How Irrational Thinking Hinders Scientific Progress, Harms the Planet, and Threatens Our Lives Denialism: How Irrational Thinking Hinders Scientific Progress, Harms the Planet, and Threatens Our Lives (Hardcover)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.74 — 2,250 ratings — published 2009
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The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't (Hardcover)
by (shelved 4 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.09 — 6,929 ratings — published 2021
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? (Paperback)
by (shelved 4 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.98 — 708 ratings — published 2005
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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (Hardcover)
by (shelved 4 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.67 — 11,200 ratings — published 2008
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Thinking: The New Science of Decision-Making, Problem-Solving, and Prediction Thinking: The New Science of Decision-Making, Problem-Solving, and Prediction (Paperback)
by (shelved 3 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.69 — 992 ratings — published 2013
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Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway (Hardcover)
by (shelved 3 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.80 — 739 ratings — published 2010
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Physics of the Future: How Science Will Shape Human Destiny and Our Daily Lives by the Year 2100 Physics of the Future: How Science Will Shape Human Destiny and Our Daily Lives by the Year 2100 (Hardcover)
by (shelved 3 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.00 — 18,125 ratings — published 2011
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Inventory Optimization: Models and Simulations Inventory Optimization: Models and Simulations (Kindle Edition)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.35 — 20 ratings — published
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Demand Forecasting Best Practices Demand Forecasting Best Practices (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.32 — 37 ratings — published
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Data Science for Supply Chain Forecast Data Science for Supply Chain Forecast (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.48 — 25 ratings — published
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Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.02 — 1,241 ratings — published 2024
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The Invention of Tomorrow: A Natural History of Foresight The Invention of Tomorrow: A Natural History of Foresight (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.85 — 124 ratings — published 2022
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The Art of Thinking Clearly The Art of Thinking Clearly (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.85 — 41,469 ratings — published 2011
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War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (Bridging the Gap) War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (Bridging the Gap)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.77 — 22 ratings — published
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Where Is My Flying Car?: A Memoir of Future Past Where Is My Flying Car?: A Memoir of Future Past (Kindle Edition)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.06 — 822 ratings — published
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Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.13 — 80,305 ratings — published 2019
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Megachange: The World in 2050 Megachange: The World in 2050 (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.60 — 383 ratings — published 2012
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Non Obvious Megatrends: How to See What Others Miss and Predict the Future (Non-Obvious Trends Series) Non Obvious Megatrends: How to See What Others Miss and Predict the Future (Non-Obvious Trends Series)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.56 — 351 ratings — published
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The Little (illustrated) Book of Operational Forecasting The Little (illustrated) Book of Operational Forecasting
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.27 — 11 ratings — published
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Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions (Wiley and SAS Business Series) Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions (Wiley and SAS Business Series)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.67 — 6 ratings — published 2015
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Applied Predictive Modeling Applied Predictive Modeling (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.40 — 344 ratings — published 2013
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Homo Deus: A History of Tomorrow Homo Deus: A History of Tomorrow (ebook)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.18 — 289,313 ratings — published 2015
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Thinking, Fast and Slow Thinking, Fast and Slow (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.17 — 593,987 ratings — published 2011
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Risk Intelligence: How to Live with Uncertainty Risk Intelligence: How to Live with Uncertainty (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.71 — 255 ratings — published 2012
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The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.85 — 571 ratings — published 2009
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Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.88 — 57 ratings — published 2009
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Mindware: Tools for Smart Thinking Mindware: Tools for Smart Thinking (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.75 — 1,818 ratings — published 2015
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The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.26 — 474 ratings — published 2013
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How to Lie with Statistics How to Lie with Statistics (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.84 — 18,147 ratings — published 1954
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Crisis Economics: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance Crisis Economics: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.84 — 2,848 ratings — published 2010
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Future Files: The 5 Trends That Will Shape the Next 50 Years Future Files: The 5 Trends That Will Shape the Next 50 Years (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.54 — 253 ratings — published 2008
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The Innovator's Solut!on: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth The Innovator's Solut!on: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.06 — 13,789 ratings — published 2003
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Seeing What's Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change Seeing What's Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.94 — 5,102 ratings — published 2004
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Microtrends: The Small Forces Behind Tomorrow's Big Changes Microtrends: The Small Forces Behind Tomorrow's Big Changes (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.51 — 2,535 ratings — published 2007
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The Weather of the Future: Heat Waves, Extreme Storms, and Other Scenes from a Climate-Changed Planet The Weather of the Future: Heat Waves, Extreme Storms, and Other Scenes from a Climate-Changed Planet (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.76 — 325 ratings — published 2010
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Economyths: 11 Ways Economics Gets it Wrong Economyths: 11 Ways Economics Gets it Wrong (Kindle Edition)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.76 — 424 ratings — published 2010
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Kapitoil Kapitoil (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.81 — 1,268 ratings — published 2010
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Numbers Rule Your World: The Hidden Influence of Probabilities and Statistics on Everything You Do Numbers Rule Your World: The Hidden Influence of Probabilities and Statistics on Everything You Do (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.56 — 1,232 ratings — published 2010
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Derek     Thompson
“In all sorts of markets—music, film, art, and politics—the future of popularity will be harder to predict as the broadcast power of radio and television democratizes and the channels of exposure grow.... The gatekeepers had their day. Now there are simply too many gates to keep.”
Derek Thompson, Hit Makers: The Science of Popularity in an Age of Distraction

“Researchers have found that merely asking people to assume their initial judgment is wrong, to seriously consider why that might be, and then make another judgment, produces a second estimate which, when combined with the first, improves accuracy almost as much as getting a second estimate from another person.”
Philip E. Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

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