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Forecasting Books

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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (Hardcover)
by (shelved 52 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.07 — 23,256 ratings — published 2015
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't (Hardcover)
by (shelved 26 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.97 — 53,228 ratings — published 2012
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Hardcover)
by (shelved 15 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.96 — 125,921 ratings — published 2007
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Forecasting: principles and practice Forecasting: principles and practice (Paperback)
by (shelved 7 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.40 — 321 ratings — published 2013
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The Art Of The Long View:  Planning For The Future In An Uncertain World The Art Of The Long View: Planning For The Future In An Uncertain World (Paperback)
by (shelved 7 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.81 — 939 ratings — published 1991
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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts (Hardcover)
by (shelved 6 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.81 — 25,862 ratings — published 2018
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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto) Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto)
by (shelved 6 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.08 — 74,168 ratings — published 2001
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Life Expectancy Life Expectancy (Mass Market Paperback)
by (shelved 6 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.02 — 40,630 ratings — published 2005
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? (Paperback)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.98 — 725 ratings — published 2005
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Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (Hardcover)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.09 — 60,300 ratings — published 2012
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The Wisdom of Crowds The Wisdom of Crowds (Paperback)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.82 — 24,888 ratings — published 2004
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Denialism: How Irrational Thinking Hinders Scientific Progress, Harms the Planet, and Threatens Our Lives Denialism: How Irrational Thinking Hinders Scientific Progress, Harms the Planet, and Threatens Our Lives (Hardcover)
by (shelved 5 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.74 — 2,250 ratings — published 2009
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The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't (Hardcover)
by (shelved 4 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.08 — 7,489 ratings — published 2021
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How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of "Intangibles" in Business How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of "Intangibles" in Business (Hardcover)
by (shelved 4 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.90 — 3,797 ratings — published 1985
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Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway (Hardcover)
by (shelved 4 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.79 — 741 ratings — published 2010
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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (Hardcover)
by (shelved 4 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.66 — 11,325 ratings — published 2008
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Thinking: The New Science of Decision-Making, Problem-Solving, and Prediction Thinking: The New Science of Decision-Making, Problem-Solving, and Prediction (Paperback)
by (shelved 3 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.70 — 994 ratings — published 2013
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Physics of the Future: How Science Will Shape Human Destiny and Our Daily Lives by the Year 2100 Physics of the Future: How Science Will Shape Human Destiny and Our Daily Lives by the Year 2100 (Hardcover)
by (shelved 3 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.00 — 18,322 ratings — published 2011
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Future Shock Future Shock (Mass Market Paperback)
by (shelved 3 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.82 — 5,357 ratings — published 1970
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Inventory Optimization: Models and Simulations Inventory Optimization: Models and Simulations (Kindle Edition)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.43 — 23 ratings — published
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Forecasting: An Essential Introduction Forecasting: An Essential Introduction (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.40 — 20 ratings — published
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Demand Forecasting Best Practices Demand Forecasting Best Practices (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.30 — 43 ratings — published
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Data Science for Supply Chain Forecast Data Science for Supply Chain Forecast (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.48 — 25 ratings — published
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Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.00 — 1,562 ratings — published 2024
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The Invention of Tomorrow: A Natural History of Foresight The Invention of Tomorrow: A Natural History of Foresight (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.83 — 133 ratings — published 2022
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The Art of Thinking Clearly The Art of Thinking Clearly (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.84 — 43,445 ratings — published 2011
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War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (Bridging the Gap) War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (Bridging the Gap)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.70 — 23 ratings — published
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Where Is My Flying Car?: A Memoir of Future Past Where Is My Flying Car?: A Memoir of Future Past (Kindle Edition)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.04 — 869 ratings — published
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Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.12 — 84,756 ratings — published 2019
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Megachange: The World in 2050 Megachange: The World in 2050 (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.60 — 387 ratings — published 2012
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Non Obvious Megatrends: How to See What Others Miss and Predict the Future (Non-Obvious Trends Series) Non Obvious Megatrends: How to See What Others Miss and Predict the Future (Non-Obvious Trends Series)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.55 — 357 ratings — published
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The Little (illustrated) Book of Operational Forecasting The Little (illustrated) Book of Operational Forecasting
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.27 — 11 ratings — published
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Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions (Wiley and SAS Business Series) Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions (Wiley and SAS Business Series)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.67 — 6 ratings — published 2015
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Applied Predictive Modeling Applied Predictive Modeling (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.41 — 343 ratings — published 2013
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The Signals Are Talking: Why Today’s Fringe Is Tomorrow’s Mainstream The Signals Are Talking: Why Today’s Fringe Is Tomorrow’s Mainstream (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.71 — 661 ratings — published 2016
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Homo Deus: A History of Tomorrow Homo Deus: A History of Tomorrow (ebook)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.18 — 297,672 ratings — published 2015
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Thinking, Fast and Slow Thinking, Fast and Slow (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.16 — 622,591 ratings — published 2011
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Risk Intelligence: How to Live with Uncertainty Risk Intelligence: How to Live with Uncertainty (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.71 — 258 ratings — published 2012
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The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.86 — 582 ratings — published 2009
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Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.88 — 57 ratings — published 2009
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The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.89 — 12,050 ratings — published 2016
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Mindware: Tools for Smart Thinking Mindware: Tools for Smart Thinking (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.75 — 1,840 ratings — published 2015
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The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.26 — 482 ratings — published 2013
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How to Lie with Statistics How to Lie with Statistics (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.83 — 18,749 ratings — published 1954
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Crisis Economics: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance Crisis Economics: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.85 — 2,853 ratings — published 2010
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Future Files: The 5 Trends That Will Shape the Next 50 Years Future Files: The 5 Trends That Will Shape the Next 50 Years (Paperback)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.54 — 253 ratings — published 2008
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The Innovator's Solut!on: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth The Innovator's Solut!on: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 4.06 — 13,860 ratings — published 2003
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Seeing What's Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change Seeing What's Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.94 — 5,105 ratings — published 2004
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Microtrends: The Small Forces Behind Tomorrow's Big Changes Microtrends: The Small Forces Behind Tomorrow's Big Changes (Hardcover)
by (shelved 2 times as forecasting)
avg rating 3.51 — 2,544 ratings — published 2007
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Ransom Riggs
“Weatherman says," Kev scoffed. "I wouldn't trust that silly bugger to know it's raining now.”
― Ransom Riggs, Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children

“Researchers have found that merely asking people to assume their initial judgment is wrong, to seriously consider why that might be, and then make another judgment, produces a second estimate which, when combined with the first, improves accuracy almost as much as getting a second estimate from another person.”
― Philip E. Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

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