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Superforecasting
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Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives
Tetlock, Philip E.
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Warren Hatch
2015/09/06
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Unmaking the West: "What-If?" Scenarios That Rewrite World History
Tetlock, Philip E.
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Warren Hatch
2015/09/06
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Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway
Gardner, Dan
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Warren Hatch
2015/09/06
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Tetlock, Philip E.
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Warren Hatch
2015/09/06
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Tetlock, Philip E.
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David McCullough
2015/09/06
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