“But if you are hoping for a straight path to impact, innovating may appear daunting at first. You need a lot of information to trace changes at the outcome all the way back to the beginnings. That’s why the stories of innovations in hindsight reveal so little of what one needs to do. And forecasting an outcome, or a product, or a user, or an organization, or a business model, or the specific technology needed from the hunch that characterizes the genesis of an innovation requires obtaining an insurmountable amount of knowledge of the dynamics ahead.”