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“Roberts is an uncommonly gifted writer, capable of synthesizing vast amounts of material and rendering it in clear, elegant prose.”
― Napoleon: A Life
― Napoleon: A Life
“explore the similarities and differences between your views and those of others—and pay special attention to prediction markets and other Methods of extracting wisdom from crowds. Synthesize all these different views into a single vision as acute as that of a dragonfly. Finally, express your judgment as precisely as you can, using a finely grained scale of probability.”
― Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
― Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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