“These partisan beliefs can upset the equation in which more information will bring us closer to the truth. A recent study in Nature found that the more informed that strong political partisans were about global warming, the less they agreed with one another.44”
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
“Several billion trillion tons of superhot exploding hydrogen nuclei rose slowly above the horizon and managed to look small, cold and slightly damp.”
― Life, the Universe and Everything
― Life, the Universe and Everything
“Kelsier said haughtily. “What’s this?” “From your brother,” Dockson said, pointing at a large map laid across the desk. “It arrived this afternoon in the hollow of a broken table leg that the Canton of Orthodoxy hired Clubs to repair.”
― Mistborn: The Final Empire
― Mistborn: The Final Empire
“After all, it was Hardin who said: ‘A nuclear blaster is a good weapon, but it can point both ways.”
― Foundation
― Foundation
“It is amusing to poke fun at the experts when their predictions fail. However, we should be careful with our Schadenfreude. To say our predictions are no worse than the experts’ is to damn ourselves with some awfully faint praise. Prediction does play a particularly important role in science, however. Some of you may be uncomfortable with a premise that I have been hinting at and will now state explicitly: we can never make perfectly objective predictions. They will always be tainted by our subjective point of view.”
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
Bill’s 2025 Year in Books
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