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The Big Book of M...
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Jonathan Haidt
“There is a hole, an emptiness in us all, that we strive to fill. If it doesn’t get filled with something noble and elevated, modern society will quickly pump it full of garbage. That has been true since the beginning of the age of mass media, but the garbage pump got 100 times more powerful in the 2010s. It matters what we expose ourselves to.”
― Jonathan Haidt, The Anxious Generation: How the Great Rewiring of Childhood Is Causing an Epidemic of Mental Illness

Annie Duke
“Jean Cocteau said, “We must believe in luck. For how else can we explain the success of those we don’t like?”
― Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Alvin Toffler
“Theories do not have to be “right” to be enormously useful. Even error has its uses.”
― Alvin Toffler, Future Shock

Annie Duke
“Chapter 2: As the Old Saying Goes, Hindsight Is Not 20/20 (page 38)

Hindsight bias vaccine

As you were using the Knowledge Tracker, it may have occurred to you that it would be a good idea to journal the "stuff you knew before the decision" while you are in the process of making the decision.

It can be hard to accurately recall what you knew before the fact once you already know the outcome. Journaling gives you something concrete to refer back to.

Writing down the key facts informing your decision also acts like a vaccine against hindsight bias. Thinking about what you know at the time of the decision in this more deliberative way creates a clearer time stamp, preventing memory creep before it happens.

Later in this book we'll take a deep dive into how to better memorialize decisions.”
― Annie Duke, How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

Alvin Toffler
“Jean Fourastié, the French planner and social philosopher, has declared that “Nothing will be less industrial than the civilization born of the industrial revolution.”
― Alvin Toffler, Future Shock

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