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“If plan A fails, we still have the rest of the alphabet”
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“If the past, by bringing surprises, did not resemble the past previous to it (what I call the past's past), then why should our future resemble our current past?”
― Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
― Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
“A ship is safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for.”
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“There is a simple test to define path dependence of beliefs (economists have a manifestation of it called the endowment effect). Say you own a painting you bought for $20,000, and owing to rosy conditions in the art market, it is now worth $40,000. If you owned no painting, would you still acquire it at the current price? If you would not, then you are said to be married to your position. There is no rational reason to keep a painting you would not buy at its current market rate—only an emotional investment. Many people get married to their ideas all the way to the grave. Beliefs are said to be path dependent if the sequence of ideas is such that the first one dominates.”
― Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
― Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
12 Books - Author Led Business Book Group
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Michał’s 2024 Year in Books
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