“How? Try to travel into the future and look back. In 2023, do you think you’re more likely to say, “Back in 2018, I wish I’d been more aggressive” or “Back in 2018, I wish I’d been more defensive”? And is there anything today about which you’d be likely to say, “In 2018, I missed the chance of a lifetime to buy xyz”? What you think you might say a few years down the road can help you figure out what you should do today.”
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
“Masa lampau hanya baik buat diingat sekali-sekali jika itu merupakan sesuatu yang menyenangkan.”
― Keberangkatan
― Keberangkatan
“Consider a turkey that is fed every day. Every single feeding will firm up the bird’s belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race “looking out for its best interests,” as a politician would say. On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey. It will incur a revision of belief.*”
― The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
― The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
“Being too far ahead of your time is indistinguishable from being wrong.” So”
― The Most Important Thing Illuminated: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
― The Most Important Thing Illuminated: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
“Untuk mati, orang tidak memerlukan kepandaian maupun bakat yang istimewa. Siapa pun dapat mati sewaktu-waktu, dengan cara yang dikehendaki atau dipilihnya. Sebaliknya, untuk hidup, orang membutuhkan keberanian, kecakapan yang kadang-kadang luar biasa. Setiap hari banyak orang yang mati, dengan mudah tanpa usaha atau daya upaya. Tetapi setiap hari berjuta-juta orang berjuang dengan susah payah untuk hidup.”
― Keberangkatan
― Keberangkatan
Calvin’s 2025 Year in Books
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