Justin
https://www.goodreads.com/jcshelf
“Improving decision quality is about increasing our chances of good outcomes, not guaranteeing them.”
― Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
― Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
“A helpful exercise is to describe the situation from the beginning, either out loud or in writing, as if to a stranger who isn’t aware of any of the specifics—much like Holmes talks his theories through out loud to Watson. When Holmes states his observations in this way, gaps and inconsistencies that weren’t apparent before come to the surface.”
― Mastermind: How to Think Like Sherlock Holmes
― Mastermind: How to Think Like Sherlock Holmes
“What makes a decision great is not that it has a great outcome. A great decision is the result of a good process, and that process must include an attempt to accurately represent our own state of knowledge. That state of knowledge, in turn, is some variation of “I’m not sure.”
― Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
― Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
“Our understanding of our world is systematically biased to perceive meaning rather than randomness and to infer cause rather than coincidence.”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
“looking without seeing,”
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
― The Invisible Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive Us
The American Novel Since 1945
— 340 members
— last activity Mar 27, 2026 07:40AM
Yale posted a series of lectures entitled, "The American Novel Since 1945." This group will follow this lecture series. Your Host: Lisa of Troy (htt ...more
Lake Washington Readers
— 130 members
— last activity May 17, 2026 08:54PM
We have two live book discussions each month: one in Seattle and one in Bellevue. See our website for details and to join: http://www.meetup.com/lake- ...more
Brooklyn Bookworms!
— 229 members
— last activity Jan 17, 2026 07:20AM
Brooklyn authors & readers, neighbors, or just fans of Brooklyn! We promote book-swaps, fairs, literacy programs, libraries, bookstores, area wri ...more
Justin’s 2025 Year in Books
Take a look at Justin’s Year in Books, including some fun facts about their reading.
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