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“All models are wrong,” the statistician George Box observed, “but some are useful.”
― Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
― Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
“There is no better teacher than history in determining the future... There are answers worth billions of dollars in 30$ history book.”
― Poor Charlie's Almanack: The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger
― Poor Charlie's Almanack: The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger
“Essentialists see trade-offs as an inherent part of life, not as an inherently negative part of life. Instead of asking, “What do I have to give up?” they ask, “What do I want to go big on?”
― Essentialism: The Disciplined Pursuit of Less
― Essentialism: The Disciplined Pursuit of Less
“There should be no shame in admitting to a mistake; after all, we really are only admitting that we are now wiser than we once were.”
― Essentialism: The Disciplined Pursuit of Less
― Essentialism: The Disciplined Pursuit of Less
Rafael’s 2025 Year in Books
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