“Participating in a field that everyone’s throwing money at is a formula for disaster.”
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”
― The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
― The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
“After 28 years at this post, and 22 years before this in money management, I can sum up whatever wisdom I have accumulated this way: The trick is not to be the hottest stock-picker, the winningest forecaster, or the developer of the neatest model; such victories are transient. The trick is to survive! Performing that trick requires a strong stomach for being wrong because we are all going to be wrong more often then we expect. The future is not ours to know. But it helps to know that being wrong is inevitable and normal, not some terrible tragedy, not some awful failing in reasoning, not even bad luck in most instances. Being wrong comes with the franchise of an activity whose outcome depends on an unknown future . . . (Jeff Saut, “Being Wrong and Still Making Money,” Seeking Alpha, March 13, 2017, emphasis added)”
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
“To describe risk aversion, I say most people prefer safety and disprefer risk—even though I’ve never seen the word “disprefer” in a dictionary. (There’s a big difference of opinion regarding the propriety of that word, with the linguistic establishment railing against it, but I think it’s a great word. If it doesn’t exist, it should.)”
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
“Skepticism and pessimism aren’t synonymous. Skepticism calls for pessimism when optimism is excessive. But it also calls for optimism when pessimism is excessive.”
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
Marcos ’s 2025 Year in Books
Take a look at Marcos ’s Year in Books, including some fun facts about their reading.
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