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“This generation now serves as the desired model for the bulk of the world’s militaries (there is still debate as to whether the U.S. military has totally embraced third-generation warfare, given that it continues to focus on the “synchronized” firepower and centralized command and control of the second generation).”
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
“This fourth-generation warfare (4GW) codified the use of guerrilla and terrorist proxies as the primary means of warfare between states, large and small. In Lind et al.’s view, 4GW was a method of warfare that allowed the weak forces to defeat the strong.”
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
“In OSW, the source code of warfare is available for anyone who is interested in both modifying and extending it. This means the tactics, weapons, strategies, target selection, planning methods, and team dynamics are all open to community improvement. Global guerrillas can hack at the source code of warfare to their hearts’ delight.”
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
“A simple way to understand this is to think of these potential attacks as negative system perturbations—or more simply, as black swans, an unexpected negative event that cannot be predicted with any degree of certainty. The time, the target, and the form of the next system perturbations are unknown because they are clouded in uncertainty.”
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
“In terms of innovation in ideas, our nonstate foes leveraged the vast body of literature on guerrilla warfare (in particular Lind et al.’s 4GW) that was developed in the United States. It isn’t unusual that the people who develop these new theories of warfare live in the countries that don’t benefit from them. Advanced Western military theory has historically provided sustenance to our revisionist foes. For example, the British military theorists J. F. C. Fuller and B. H. Liddell Hart provided the theoretical basis of armored warfare that Heinz Guderian and others, in the nascent German military before World War II, used to formulate the blitzkrieg. So while the image of al-Qaeda strategists squatting in Afghan caves reading Lind et al.’s 4GW theory may be hard to imagine, it shouldn’t be any more fantastic than Guderian practicing Fuller’s theories with cardboard tanks. Both happened.”
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
― Brave New War: The Next Stage of Terrorism and the End of Globalization
Derek’s 2025 Year in Books
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