John Paul

“the Mann Gulch fire isn’t about fire, or at least not only about fire. It’s also about pandemics. In fire you could see lessons for fighting a raging disease. He jotted them down: You cannot wait for the smoke to clear: once you can see things clearly it is already too late. You can’t outrun an epidemic: by the time you start to run it is already upon you. Identify what is important and drop everything that is not. Figure out the equivalent of an escape fire. The Mann Gulch fire captured the difficulty people had imagining exponential growth, even when their lives depended on it. “We are reactive and tend to only intervene when things are getting bad,” wrote Carter. “And what we underestimate is the speed that what’s bad moves.”
― Michael Lewis, The Premonition: A Pandemic Story