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The Strange Death...
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World War II in S...
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“tudo que é melhor do que eu, tudo que sou incapaz de fazer bem, é motivo do meu aplauso e reconhecimento; às vezes nos achamos “fodalhões” demais, mas, na verdade, somos só mais da mesma bosta social.”
Marcos Delacumbre Holtz, Um drink numa bota suja de lama

C.S. Lewis
“Experience: that most brutal of teachers. But you learn, my God do you learn.”
C.S. Lewis

Daniel Kahneman
“Why are experts inferior to algorithms? One reason, which Meehl suspected, is that experts try to be clever, think outside the box, and consider complex combinations of features in making their predictions. Complexity may work in the odd case, but more often than not it reduces validity. Simple combinations of features are better. Several studies have shown that human decision makers are inferior to a prediction formula even when they are given the score suggested by the formula! They feel that they can overrule the formula because they have additional information about the case, but they are wrong more often than not.”
Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow

Sun Tzu
“Whoever is first in the field and awaits the coming of the enemy, will be fresh for the fight; whoever is second in the field and has to hasten to battle will arrive exhausted.”
Sun Tzu, The Art of War

Roberto Campos
“A fórmula do desenvolvimento é simples de enunciar e difícil de executar: governo pequeno (pois o motor do desenvolvimento é o setor privado); impostos baixos (pois o governo é mau alocador de recursos); respeito à propriedade física (para estimular a acumulação) e intelectual (para premiar a inventividade); e abertura internacional para o comércio, para investimentos e para a tecnologia. O resto é pirotecnia matemática (dos teóricos) e conversa fiada (dos práticos).”
Roberto Campos, LIBERALISMO: Roberto Campos em sua melhor forma (Coleção Economia Política)

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