“A few years ago my friend Jon Brooks supplied this great illustration of skewed interpretation at work. Here’s how investors react to events when they’re feeling good about life (which usually means the market has been rising): Strong data: economy strengthening—stocks rally Weak data: Fed likely to ease—stocks rally Data as expected: low volatility—stocks rally Banks make $4 billion: business conditions favorable—stocks rally Banks lose $4 billion: bad news out of the way—stocks rally Oil spikes: growing global economy contributing to demand—stocks rally Oil drops: more purchasing power for the consumer—stocks rally Dollar plunges: great for exporters—stocks rally Dollar strengthens: great for companies that buy from abroad—stocks rally Inflation spikes: will cause assets to appreciate—stocks rally Inflation drops: improves quality of earnings—stocks rally Of course, the same behavior also applies in the opposite direction. When psychology is negative and markets have been falling for a while, everything is capable of being interpreted negatively. Strong economic data is seen as likely to make the Fed withdraw stimulus by raising interest rates, and weak data is taken to mean companies will have trouble meeting earnings forecasts. In other words, it’s not the data or events; it’s the interpretation. And that fluctuates with swings in psychology.”
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
― Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
“Make sure your product is something your potential investors could personally see themselves using, or else they won’t be able to see any value in it whatsoever. Even though women are half of the population, remember, anything targeting them is considered a niche market.”
― How to Be Successful without Hurting Men's Feelings: Non-threatening Leadership Strategies for Women
― How to Be Successful without Hurting Men's Feelings: Non-threatening Leadership Strategies for Women
“Money flows to people who respect it. Treat every dollar like it's related to a Billion.”
― The Wealth Reference Guide: An American Classic
― The Wealth Reference Guide: An American Classic
“We make and create riches and wealth to give 'em all away .... before we expire”
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