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Book cover for The Total State: How Liberal Democracies Become Tyrannies
If genetic determination is an acceptable justification for sexual preference, why would it not be the same for the in-group preference now commonly referred to as racism?
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“While our purpose was not to predict particular news headlines, we did at one point (see chapter 10, “A Fourth Turning Prophecy”) offer five hypothetical scenarios for how this Crisis era might accelerate toward its climax: a terrorist WMD attack on U.S. cities using airplanes; a “tea party” fiscal rebellion triggering a fiscal meltdown; a Russian invasion of a former Soviet state; a pandemic requiring martial law; and a succession threat triggered by a state’s refusal to follow federal law. Back when we wrote the book, many readers told us these scenarios seemed utterly implausible.”
William Strauss, The Fourth Turning: What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny

Nassim Nicholas Taleb
“It happens all the time: a cause is proposed to make you swallow the news and make matters more concrete. After a candidate’s defeat in an election, you will be supplied with the “cause” of the voters’ disgruntlement. Any conceivable cause can do. The media, however, go to great lengths to make the process “thorough” with their armies of fact-checkers. It is as if they wanted to be wrong with infinite precision (instead of accepting being approximately right, like a fable writer).”
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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