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Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by
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Ila Perey
is 66% done
Significance of the “fault tree” which showed the various ways a car could break down. Mechanics who were shown only part of the tree didn’t fully account for cases that were left out. Point is: It is important and difficult to recognise what data is absent
— May 03, 2026 04:02AM
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Ila Perey
is 54% done
multi-attribute utility analysis Is here used to decide which car to buy
— May 02, 2026 11:55PM
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Ila Perey
is 41% done
“Beliefs, assumptions, concepts and information retrieved from memory form a mindset or mental model that guides perception and processing of new information”
— May 02, 2026 06:35PM
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Ila Perey
is 38% done
“The finding that judgements are based on a few critical variables rather than on the entire spectrum of evidence helps to explain why information on additional variables does not normally improve predictive accuracy”
— May 02, 2026 06:17PM
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Ila Perey
is 19% done
Schema= any pattern of relationships amongst data stored in memory. Any set of nodes and links between them that can be retrieved as a single unit. Eg bar = knowledge of properties of a bar and what distinguishes it from a tavern
— May 01, 2026 08:37PM
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Ila Perey
is 16% done
“Once an observer has formed an image…or developed a mindset or expectations concerning the phenomenon being observed, this conditions future perceptions”
— May 01, 2026 05:43PM
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Ila Perey
is 15% done
“Analysts do not achieve objectivity by avoiding preconceptions. That would be ignorance or self-delusion. Objectivity is achieved by making basic assumptions and reasoning as explicit as possible so that they may be challenged…and examine their validity”
The basis of this statement is that we use preconceptions to make sense of wide body of information. Like a mental shortcut (heuristics)
— May 01, 2026 05:39PM
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The basis of this statement is that we use preconceptions to make sense of wide body of information. Like a mental shortcut (heuristics)
Ila Perey
is 14% done
Not like meta-perception where you try to perceive how other people perceive you. More like understanding how you perceive, what affects it, the consequences and what you can do about it. So far, recognising that it is affected, is the first step.
— May 01, 2026 06:30AM
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