Status Updates From Expert Political Judgment: ...

That section on the historical forecasting discussions was certainly intriguing. Foxes continue to have the advantage in that not only do they rarely call events as impossible, not only do they tend to take both sides of an analysis, but also they adjust their expectations in a more Bayesian (ie correct) manner, a sign of their openness.

The text reads like a research paper. Maybe it is supposed to be one but it is a bit too technical. At the same time the tea is spilled in every other paragraph against stubborn forecasters and smug experts that it is net a good read.