Manny’s Reviews > What to Think About Machines That Think: Today's Leading Thinkers on the Age of Machine Intelligence – Essays on Artificial Intelligence and Human Destiny > Status Update
Manny
is on page 100 of 576
My one-sentence summary of the first hundred pages: the world's leading experts on AI, science, philosophy etc don't know shit, you'd be out of your mind to believe anything they said.
And if that's the smartest people in the world, just imagine how much worse things are with the rest of them.
— 15 hours, 31 min ago
And if that's the smartest people in the world, just imagine how much worse things are with the rest of them.
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Manny’s Previous Updates
Manny
is on page 200 of 576
We can't deal well with a threat only now looking like a small, distant, dark cloud on the horizon: AIs that perform better than we do at the very highest levels. This cloud need not concern us now. It may never appear. Right now, we have trouble making an AI that passes the Turing Test.
[Written in 2015 by Gregory Benford, professor emeritus of physics and astronomy]
— 8 hours, 7 min ago
[Written in 2015 by Gregory Benford, professor emeritus of physics and astronomy]
Manny
is on page 150 of 576
"The step from human-level AI to superintelligence will most likely be quicker than the step from current levels of AI to human-level AI. Superintelligence could well be the best thing or the worst thing that will ever happen in human history," writes Nick Bostrom in 2015.
At last, someone here who actually does know what they're talking about.
— 11 hours, 57 min ago
At last, someone here who actually does know what they're talking about.
Manny
is on page 50 of 576
My hot tip for this morning: if you're going to read a book on futurology, wait until it's been available for at least ten years. You'll enjoy it much more, and it will also make a lot more sense.
— 20 hours, 31 min ago
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15 hours, 21 min ago
Nice summary. It seems to echo the public discord as well.
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This book is terrifying. It was written ten years ago, and it has contributions from almost all the people you'd expect to know what's going on regarding the development of AI, but in fact none of the ones I've read so far turn out to have a better idea of what was about to happen than you might have put together from looking at the then-current technology, watching Her, and using a little common sense. In fact, most of them aren't even doing that well.Exercise for the reader: how reliable do you think forecasts by so-called experts might be of where AI will be in 2036? Or even 2029?
