Lady G Hutch’s Reviews > The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable > Status Update
Lady G Hutch
is 27% done
Now, we look at how people over estimate CERTAIN black swans
Narrative bias also aids in this
Your friend tells you about a motor cycle accident, and even with all the stats in your face you still believe motorcycle accidents are much more common and terrifying than they really are
Because of the narrative and anecdotal evidence will override the part of our brain that looks at stats 📈📉
— Sep 12, 2026 01:44PM
Narrative bias also aids in this
Your friend tells you about a motor cycle accident, and even with all the stats in your face you still believe motorcycle accidents are much more common and terrifying than they really are
Because of the narrative and anecdotal evidence will override the part of our brain that looks at stats 📈📉
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Lady’s Previous Updates
Lady G Hutch
is 17% done
The extremastan and the mediocrastan!
One is ruled by the rare extremes (take a gander which one) and one is ruled by the collective
Mediocrastan would be something like height, where after a few observations you get the gist of where humans lie on the scale of feet from the ground
Extremastan applies to anything without gravity— money, how popular a song is, book sales, and especially predicting the market 💸
— Aug 22, 2026 11:14AM
One is ruled by the rare extremes (take a gander which one) and one is ruled by the collective
Mediocrastan would be something like height, where after a few observations you get the gist of where humans lie on the scale of feet from the ground
Extremastan applies to anything without gravity— money, how popular a song is, book sales, and especially predicting the market 💸
Lady G Hutch
is 5% done
Re-read! I’ve forgotten many of the concepts of the book and got the audiobook :p
Confusing as ever but fascinating
— Aug 17, 2026 09:33AM
Confusing as ever but fascinating