Rick te Molder’s Reviews > Our Final Invention: Artificial Intelligence and the End of the Human Era > Status Update

“Now, how long until we reach AGI? A few AI experts I’ve spoken with don’t think 2020 is too soon to anticipate human level intelligence”, Barrat wrote in 2013 :)

He continues: “recent polls show that [...] professionals in AI-related fields [...] think there’s a better than 10% chance AGI will be created before 2028 and a better than 50% chance by 2050. Before the end of this century, a 90% chance.”