Ted Rohe’s Reviews > The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't > Status Update

Ch.4 Probabilism & Probabilists versus Determinists/Laplace Demon theory is interesting as I fall on being a Probabilist/Free Will in that we as humans can only understand so much. Heisinberg Uncertainty Principle & when particles act like waves. Also interesting is when a matrix is 2D, 3D, to 4D how difficulty it is to predict that area of weather or anything else. Interesting Chaos theory & Cone of Chaos.

I don't think anyone thought a political talking head pundit's predictions were ever very accurate or seriously without even doing the analysis. But insightful analysis of whether one is fox or a hedgehog. Also, Ch. 3 helpful tips for success in pg. 96-97. Also, insightful for us now in the AI showing computers, even AI can only do so much and human interaction and insight is needed as well.