America on wrong track? If so, why?
In the latest poll by YouGov/Economist, 63% of Americans say the country is moving in the wrong direction. Republicans, of course, seize on the negative number to place 100% of blame at the foot of President Obama and the Democrats.
I’m losing patience, in particular, with Trump TV surrogates who suggest that Republicans are squeaky clean and always on the right side of the “wrong track” debate. Too often, these people go unchallenged by interviewers and even by Clinton surrogates.
Following are counter arguments that probe more deeply to dissect why people see things as awry. Yes, people are dissatisfied, but not about the same things. They blame different people, organizations, and things.
THE ECONOMY: The Huffington Post reports: “Despite the world’s string of high-profile terror attacks this year, the economy remains at the top of American voters’ minds. A 45 percent plurality name the economy as one of the two issues most important to them, ranking it first on a list of 10 topics.”
Following economic concerns is a wide range of items where there’s plenty of blame to go around:
SUPREME COURT: comes next in terms of importance to Americans in the Huff Post poll at 30%. Again, polls do not favor the GOP approach of blocking Obama’s Garland selection, with a majority of both Democrats and Republicans supporting POTUS’s right to select.
HEALTH CARE: 26% of Americans are concerned, but the negative view cuts two ways. Some have concerns that access should be easier, more affordable and single payer, while others say Obama Care is the problem. Again, a divided issue that simple statistics and arguments don’t address.
IMMIGRATION: 22% are concerned, but not all blame the government; many want reform, not mass deportations and bans.
HOW WASHINGTON WORKS: 14% are dissatisfied, but it’s not hard to make a case that the GOP bears more of the blame since it is widely seen as obstructionist of anything coming from Obama and Democrats. An additional telling number is the disapproval rating for the House and Senate: 62% disapprove of performance, while only 13% approve. The elevated “wrong track” numbers relate to growing partisan polarization, combined with continued perceptions of government gridlock and the GOP gets a lot of the blame.
Further, public perceptions of the Republican Party have plummeted; 60 percent of Americans holding an unfavorable view of the GOP according to a recent Bloomberg poll, the party’s lowest standing in the poll’s seven-year history. By comparison, 49 percent held a negative view of Republicans at the same point in the 2012 election cycle, so the GOP message is ringing hollow.
SOCIAL ISSUES: 13% unhappy, but too broad a question to know why.
GUN POLICIES: 13% see problems, but again slices down party lines. Many in GOP want unfettered gun access, while others want controls on assault weaponry.
FOREIGN POLICY: 13% want change, and terrorism concerns are in this number. GOP thinks current government doing nothing to stop terrorism, while evidence suggests otherwise.
TERRORISM: Donald Trump talks about ISIS and terrorism daily, to the point where it would seem he sees terrorists at almost every door. It is true that Americans think terrorist attacks in the U.S. are more imminent now than at any point since 2003. According to a recent CNN/ORC Poll conducted after the shooting in Orlando and attacks in Europe, 60% of Democrats believe an attack is likely, compared to 72% of independents and 84% of Republicans. A staggering 41% of those in the poll are “…at least somewhat worried that they or a family member will become a victim.”
But, what level of fear about terrorism in the U.S. could be seen as rational? If you believe in statistics, excessive fear is not founded in facts.
In the 16 years since 9/11, slightly less than six people have died, on average, per year in homeland terror attacks. To put that number in perspective, so far in 2016, 18 people have been killed by lightning.
In a July 2016 interview with the BBC, President Obama said: “If you look at the number of Americans killed (on U.S. soil) since 9/11 by terrorism, it’s less than 100.” Compare the number of Americans murdered each year in gun violence; that number tops 11,000 or 1,833 times more that from terror attacks. http://www.bradycampaign.org/key-gun-violence-statistics .
It’s easy to claim that America is on the wrong track, but every country on earth can make the same claim; people are never totally satisfied with the state of affairs — that’s human nature.
What we could keep in mind is that the simplistic placement of blame by political surrogates and some journalists is often disingenuous and just plain wrong.
One conclusion is that the way Americans view “concerns” about the U.S. right or wrong track issue is largely dependent on political affiliation — a familiar refrain world wide.


