I have been looking at term premium models as part of a non-writing project. I decided to take a look at the Kim & Wright model output (available via the Federal Reserve, paper link: http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2005/200533/200533abs.html). By way of background, there are two very popular term premium models, the Kim & Wright paper, and the one by Adrian, Crump, and Moench (ACM).
Working from memory, term premia estimates had difficulty around the COVID crisis, and at least one of the...
Published on September 24, 2025 06:29