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Management Lesson...
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Observability For...
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Nate Silver
“The more interviews that an expert had done with the press, Tetlock found, the worse his predictions tended to be.”
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

Ernst Jünger
“Today only the person who no longer believes in a happy ending, only he who has consciously renounced it, is able to live. A happy century does not exist; but there are moments of happiness, and there is freedom in the moment.”
Ernst Jünger, The Glass Bees

Carl Sagan
“Occasionally, I get a letter from someone who is in “contact” with extraterrestrials. I am invited to “ask them anything.” And so over the years I’ve prepared a little list of questions. The extraterrestrials are very advanced, remember. So I ask things like, “Please provide a short proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem.” Or the Goldbach Conjecture. And then I have to explain what these are, because extraterrestrials will not call it Fermat’s Last Theorem. So I write out the simple equation with the exponents. I never get an answer. On the other hand, if I ask something like “Should we be good?” I almost always get an answer.”
Carl Sagan, The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark

Marcus Aurelius
“Perfection of character is this: to live each day as if it were your last, without frenzy, without apathy, without pretence.”
Marcus Aurelius, Meditations

T.E. Lawrence
“All men dream: but not equally. Those who dream by night in the dusty recesses of their minds wake up in the day to find it was vanity, but the dreamers of the day are dangerous men, for they may act their dreams with open eyes, to make it possible.”
T.E. Lawrence, Seven Pillars of Wisdom: A Triumph

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