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Michal
https://www.goodreads.com/michal_dubrawski
“If you have to plan for a future beyond the forecasting horizon, plan for surprise. That means, as Danzig advises, planning for adaptability and resilience.”
― Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
― Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
“For superforecasters, beliefs are hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded.”
― Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
― Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
“When the facts change, I change my mind - what do you do, sir?”
―
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“Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action”
― Goldfinger
― Goldfinger
“Critical thinking is an active and ongoing process. It requires that we all think like Bayesians, updating our knowledge as new information comes in.”
― A Field Guide to Lies: Critical Thinking in the Information Age
― A Field Guide to Lies: Critical Thinking in the Information Age
Michal’s 2024 Year in Books
Take a look at Michal’s Year in Books, including some fun facts about their reading.
2,385 books
|
267 friends
224 books
|
12 friends
17 books
|
9 friends
231 books
|
35 friends
255 books
|
12 friends
1,508 books
|
111 friends
1,333 books
|
26 friends
0 books
|
92 friends
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