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Luis Oliveira
https://www.goodreads.com/lfmoliveira
On 20 July 1969, Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin landed on the surface of the moon. In the months leading up to their expedition, the Apollo II astronauts trained in a remote moon-like desert in the western United States. The area is home to
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“In his 1996 book, Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk, Peter L. Bernstein wrote, “Regression to the mean motivates almost every variety of risk-taking and forecasting. It is at the root of homilies like ‘What goes up must come down,’ ‘Pride goeth before a fall,’ and ‘From shirtsleeves to shirtsleeves in three generations.”
― When Einstein Walked with Gödel: Excursions to the Edge of Thought
― When Einstein Walked with Gödel: Excursions to the Edge of Thought
“I am naturally drawn to numbers but one of the ironies of working with numbers is that the more I work with them, the more skeptical I become about purely number-driven arguments.”
― Narrative and Numbers: The Value of Stories in Business
― Narrative and Numbers: The Value of Stories in Business
“The promise of this book is that if we follow the example of poker players by making explicit that our decisions are bets, we can make better decisions and anticipate (and take protective measures) when irrationality is likely to keep us from acting in our best interest.”
― Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
― Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
“Las ideas de Aron eran coherentes e indiscutibles: no es idóneo defender, de un lado, el liberalismo y la democracia, y, de otro, una política imperialista y colonial contra un pueblo que reclama su derecho a ser independiente.”
― La llamada de la tribu
― La llamada de la tribu
“When we work backward from results to figure out why those things happened, we are susceptible to a variety of cognitive traps, like assuming causation when there is only a correlation, or cherry-picking data to confirm the narrative we prefer. We will pound a lot of square pegs into round holes to maintain the illusion of a tight relationship between our outcomes and our decisions.”
― Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
― Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Luis’s 2025 Year in Books
Take a look at Luis’s Year in Books, including some fun facts about their reading.
431 books
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177 friends
28 books
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18 friends
6 books
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18 friends
2 books
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48 friends
11 books
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21 friends
1 book
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113 friends
2 books
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5 friends
9 books
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71 friends
More friends…
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