Bojan Tunguz

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Book cover for The Exponential Age: How Accelerating Technology is Transforming Business, Politics and Society
In general, if an organization needs to do something that uses computation, and that task is too expensive today, it probably won’t be too expensive in a couple of years.
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Donald Miller
“Apple didn’t find their footing until Steve Jobs understood that people felt intimidated (internal problem) by computers and wanted a simpler interface with technology.”
Donald Miller, Building a StoryBrand: Clarify Your Message So Customers Will Listen

Nate Silver
“Sophomoric forecasters sometimes make the mistake of assuming that just because something is hard to model they may as well ignore it.”
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Nate Silver
“[T]here are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns—there are things we do not know we don’t know.—Donald Rumsfeld”
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Nate Silver
“Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.14”
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Stephen Wertheim
“Peace, however, came at an unprecedented price after Germany conquered France and briefly bestrode Europe. For the United States to maintain a hemispheric military posture could potentially leave Europe to the worst Europeans and Asia to the worst Asians—totalitarian dictatorships harnessing the tools of industrial modernity to achieve armed conquest and subjugation.”
Stephen Wertheim, Tomorrow, the World: The Birth of U.S. Global Supremacy

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