Bojan Tunguz

“Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.14”
― Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

“One of the reasons why I’m now without a position, why I’ve been without a position for years, it’s quite simply because I have different ideas from these gentlemen who give positions to individuals who think like them.”
― Taylor Pearson, The End of Jobs: Money, Meaning and Freedom Without the 9-to-5

“Oddly enough, our views were shaped quite a bit by the example of the thirteenth-century Mongol campaigns of conquest. Genghis Khan’s “hordes” – often smaller than the armies they faced – benefited immeasurably from what we today call near-real-time reporting on the disposition, composition, and movements of the enemy by their corps of “Arrow Riders,” a Pony-Express-like communication system that gave the Khan a consistent winning advantage.”
― John Arquilla, Bitskrieg: The New Challenge of Cyberwarfare

“Sophomoric forecasters sometimes make the mistake of assuming that just because something is hard to model they may as well ignore it.”
― Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't