Victor

“Superforecasting does require minimum levels of intelligence, numeracy, and knowledge of the world, but anyone who reads serious books about psychological research probably has those prerequisites. So”
― Philip Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

“Tokyo has more Michelin stars than any other city.”
― Lonely Planet, Lonely Planet Tokyo

“The point is now indisputable: when you have a well-validated statistical algorithm, use it.”
― Philip Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

“in most cases statistical algorithms beat subjective judgment, and in the handful of studies where they don’t, they usually tie. Given”
― Philip Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction