it is a mathematically valid position to use a subjective probability to represent the prior state of uncertainty of a subject matter expert. In fact, there are problems in statistics that can only be solved by using a probabilistically
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“A change in perspective, in physical location, quite simply forces mindfulness. It forces us to reconsider the world, to look at things from a different angle. And sometimes that change in perspective can be the spark that makes a difficult decision manageable, or that engenders creativity where none existed before.”
― Mastermind: How to Think Like Sherlock Holmes
― Mastermind: How to Think Like Sherlock Holmes
“Because what matters in life isn’t how frequently one is “right” about outcomes, but how much one makes when one is right. Being wrong, when it is not costly, doesn’t count—in a way that’s similar to trial-and-error mechanisms of research.”
― Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life
― Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life
“why no other man shivers so horribly when the night-wind rattles the windows. When I came upon it in the ghastly stillness of unending sleep it looked at me, chilly from the rays of a cold moon amidst the desert’s heat. And as I returned its look I forgot my triumph at finding it, and stopped still with my camel to wait for the dawn.”
― H. P. Lovecraft: The Complete Fiction
― H. P. Lovecraft: The Complete Fiction
Corey’s 2025 Year in Books
Take a look at Corey’s Year in Books, including some fun facts about their reading.
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