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Jack Dong

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Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind

by Yuval Noah Harari

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Feb 04, 2019 02:15PM

Jack Dong is currently reading

The Push: A Climber's Journey of Endurance, Risk, and Going Beyond Limits

by Tommy Caldwell

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Dec 13, 2018 12:21PM

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What Patients Say, What Doctors Hear

by Danielle Ofri (Goodreads Author)

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Nov 18, 2018 01:11PM

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“One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.”
― Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

12 likes

“When catastrophe strikes, we look for a signal in the noise - anything that might explain the chaos that we see all around us and bring order to the world again.”
― Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

6 likes

“Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.”
― Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

tags: bias, knowledge, prediction, self-knowledge, uncertainty, wisdom

41 likes

“Good innovators typically think very big and they think very small. New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look. And they are sometimes found when you are doing your most abstract and philosophical thinking, considering why the world is the way that it is and whether there might be an alternative to the dominant paradigm. Rarely can they be found in the temperate latitudes between they two spaces, where we spend 99 percent of our lives.”
― Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

11 likes